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Harboes Bryggeri A/S (HARB-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · DK · Market cap 464M DKK (≈ $72.1M) · ISIN DK0060014751

What is Harboes Bryggeri A/S really worth?

HB Harboes Bryggeri A/S HARB-B · CO
Pricekr 130.00
Fair Valuekr 128.25
Upside−1.4%
Quality46/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of kr 128.25.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Weak on future: 26 out of 100
!Weak on past: 14 out of 100

For context

·1.54% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range kr 96.19 – kr 155.82

Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +11.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 271.91 kr 58.77 Fair Value kr 128.25 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 58.77 – kr 271.91 · fair‑value band kr 96.19 – kr 155.82 · the kr 130.00 price screens above the kr 128.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Harboes Bryggeri A/S (HARB-B) currently trades at kr 130.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 128.25, implying the stock looks roughly 1.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of kr 147.19 per share, and 5 of the 14 models we run sit above the kr 130.00 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 22.33, and 9 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Harboes Bryggeri A/S generated revenue of 1.7B DKK at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue declined 8.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at 343M DKK. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 96.19 (bear case) to kr 155.82 (bull case); at kr 130.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −1%, HARB-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 4 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 1.60 per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence kr 151.38 kr 144.68 kr 115.92 76
EPV kr 40.49 kr 50.33 kr 58.52 74
ROIC Compounder kr 40.49 kr 50.33 kr 58.52 72
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 51.30 kr 88.67 kr 108.51 67
EPV kr 40.49 kr 50.33 kr 58.52 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 18.31 kr 22.33 kr 26.17 69
DDM Multi-Stage kr 18.31 kr 23.44 kr 28.98 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 118.82 kr 158.43 kr 198.03 63
P/S Multiple kr 96.19 kr 128.25 kr 160.31 58
P/B Multiple kr 96.19 kr 128.25 kr 160.31 55
EV/EBIT kr 121.44 kr 172.48 kr 223.52 65
EV/EBITDA kr 293.90 kr 402.42 kr 510.94 67
EV/Revenue kr 77.61 kr 124.45 kr 171.28 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 109.85 kr 147.19 kr 219.69 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence kr 151.38 kr 144.68 kr 115.92 76
ROIC Compounder kr 40.49 kr 50.33 kr 58.52 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 83.90 kr 119.86 kr 155.82 67

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (kr 147.19) versus Dividend Discount (kr 22.33). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.2 as of Jul 16, 2026
P/S ratio 0.27 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 6.40 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.2
Dividend yield 1.5% payout 31.3%
Net margin 1.6% FY2026
Return on equity 3.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.7B DKK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.2% 3y avg +2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) −35.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −65.6M DKK FY2026
Net debt 343M DKK FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Harboes Bryggeri A/S produces and markets beverages and malt-based ingredients worldwide. The company offers beers and soda, energy drinks, and malt beverages under the Harboe, NAILED, Caribia, XRAY, Mecklenburger, Bear Beer, Viiking, Darguner, and Hyper Malt brands.

Full company description

Harboes Bryggeri A/S produces and markets beverages and malt-based ingredients worldwide. The company offers beers and soda, energy drinks, and malt beverages under the Harboe, NAILED, Caribia, XRAY, Mecklenburger, Bear Beer, Viiking, Darguner, and Hyper Malt brands. It serves supermarket chains and other retail companies, food and beverage manufacturers, and local and international distributors. The company was founded in 1883 and is based in Skælskør, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Harboes Bryggeri A/S reported revenue of 1.7B DKK in FY2026 versus 1.4B DKK in FY2022, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was 27.0M DKK in FY2026, compounding +427.2%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
1.7B DKK
Latest YoY
−4.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+60.9% (59.4 + 1.5)
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY22 1.4B DKK
FY23 1.6B DKK
FY24 1.8B DKK
FY25 1.8B DKK
FY26 1.7B DKK
Net income +427.2%/yr
FY22 35.0K DKK
FY23 −4.3M DKK
FY24 54.8M DKK
FY25 44.8M DKK
FY26 27.0M DKK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +4.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.8 %

of which total revenue +2.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.9 %

EBIT margin −0.5 %
Tax rate +1.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Harboes Bryggeri A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HARB-B

Peer Group

Beverages - Brewers · 56 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.59× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.94× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE32 · sector 28
FUTURE26 · sector 0
PAST14 · sector 36
HEALTH93 · sector 97
DIVIDEND31 · sector 64

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA ABI €68.28 €60.24 −12%
Heineken N.V HEIA €72.70 €65.06 −11%
Ambev S.A ABEV $2.86 $4.05 +42%
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FMX $120.41 $54.74 −55%
Constellation Brands, Inc STZ $129.09 $173.19 +34%
Carlsberg A/S CARLA kr 1,115 kr 607.30 −46%
Heineken Holding HEIO €68.25 €60.55 −11%
Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 ¥51.63 ¥63.65 +23%
Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 HK$6.35 HK$6.05 −5%
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company 0291 HK$22.16 HK$25.38 +15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Harboes Bryggeri A/S (HARB-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 128.25 versus a price of kr 130.00, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HARB-B?
Our model-based fair value for Harboes Bryggeri A/S is kr 128.25 (as of Aug 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 130.00.
What is the quality score of HARB-B?
Harboes Bryggeri A/S has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Harboes Bryggeri A/S (HARB-B)?
Harboes Bryggeri A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B DKK (latest available figure, as of Aug 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HARB-B?
The net profit margin of Harboes Bryggeri A/S is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Harboes Bryggeri A/S pay a dividend?
Harboes Bryggeri A/S currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.54% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 27, 2026).
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