HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of HBL ENGINEERING LTD ₹874, price ₹795, upside +10.0%, quality 82 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹42.15 – ₹1,096 · fair‑value band ₹498.82 – ₹1,391 · the ₹794.50 price screens below the ₹873.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
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HBL Engineering Limited manufactures and sells batteries and other products in India and internationally. It operates through Industrial batteries, Defense and Aviation batteries, and Electronics segments. The company offers lead acid batteries, nickel-cadmium batteries, silver zinc batteries, defence, and lithium batteries.
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HBL Engineering Limited manufactures and sells batteries and other products in India and internationally. It operates through Industrial batteries, Defense and Aviation batteries, and Electronics segments. The company offers lead acid batteries, nickel-cadmium batteries, silver zinc batteries, defence, and lithium batteries. It also provides rail signaling electronics, electronic fuzes for ammunition, train collision avoidance systems, train management system, and electric drive trains. The company serves system integrators, EPC's, railway, aviation, and defense companies, as well as government sector. The company was formerly HBL Power Systems Limited and changed its name to HBL Engineering Limited in November 2024. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India. HBL Engineering Limited is a subsidiary of Aluru Family Private Trust.
Stock analysis
HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE) currently trades at ₹794.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹873.95, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,346 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹794.50 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹323.16, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹498.82 (bear) to ₹1,391 (bull), the price of ₹794.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
HBL ENGINEERING LTD reported revenue of ₹33.0B in FY2026 versus ₹12.1B in FY2022, a compound +28.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹8.1B in FY2026, compounding +71.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹220B (≈ $2.3B) · P/E ratio 28.2 · P/S ratio 6.95 · EPS (TTM) ₹28.20 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 24.7% · Return on equity 44.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 10%, HBLENGINE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹498.82Fair Value ₹873.95Bull ₹1,391
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹12.70 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+69.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +72.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+72.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 32%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2026, which sits 194% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 544 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)44.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets27.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)23.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
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Is HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹873.95 versus a price of ₹794.50, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HBLENGINE?
Our model-based fair value for HBL ENGINEERING LTD is ₹873.95 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹794.50.
What is the quality score of HBLENGINE?
HBL ENGINEERING LTD has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹873.95 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹498.82, optimistic scenario ₹1,391. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HBL ENGINEERING LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹873.95, about +10% upside versus a price of ₹794.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹498.82, optimistic scenario ₹1,391. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
HBL ENGINEERING LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹33.4B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does HBL ENGINEERING LTD pay a dividend?
HBL ENGINEERING LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.38% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HBL ENGINEERING LTD would have to grow free cash flow by +23.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +29.9 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HBLENGINE use?
Our models discount HBL ENGINEERING LTD at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.07, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HBL ENGINEERING LTD that is +23.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HBL ENGINEERING LTD grew +29.9 % a year. The price currently implies +23.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HBL ENGINEERING LTD (+23.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.75 %: that much free cash flow HBL ENGINEERING LTD produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HBL ENGINEERING LTD it is ₹873.95 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of ₹794.50. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HBL ENGINEERING LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, HBLENGINE trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹794.50, fair value ₹873.95, a gap of about +10% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HBLENGINE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹794.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹873.95). For HBL ENGINEERING LTD the two are ₹79.45 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HBL ENGINEERING LTD worth?
The market values HBL ENGINEERING LTD at about ₹220B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is ₹794.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹873.95 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HBLENGINE?
Our models span a range for HBL ENGINEERING LTD: cautious scenario ₹498.82, base ₹873.95, optimistic ₹1,391 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price ₹794.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HBLENGINE?
HBL ENGINEERING LTD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.2 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹873.95 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 10.0, P/S 6.6, EV/EBITDA 20.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
Balance-sheet figures for HBL ENGINEERING LTD (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 44.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 82/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HBLENGINE from its 52-week high?
HBL ENGINEERING LTD trades at ₹794.50, about 28% below its 52-week high of ₹1,096 and 29% above the low of ₹614.80 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹873.95 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HBL ENGINEERING LTD?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HBL ENGINEERING LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price ₹794.50, calculated fair value ₹873.95 (+10%), Quality Score 82/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HBLENGINE calculated?
We run HBL ENGINEERING LTD through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹873.95, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. HBL ENGINEERING LTD currently trades 9 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ₹794.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹873.95, about +10% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HBL ENGINEERING LTD right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹498.82 to ₹1,391). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of HBL ENGINEERING LTD
How large is the market capitalisation of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
The market capitalisation of HBL ENGINEERING LTD is ₹220B (≈ $2.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HBL ENGINEERING LTD is 6.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
Earnings per share at HBL ENGINEERING LTD are ₹28.20 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
The dividend yield of HBL ENGINEERING LTD is 0.4% (payout 10.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
The net margin of HBL ENGINEERING LTD is 24.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HBL ENGINEERING LTD is 44.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HBL ENGINEERING LTD is 19.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
The operating margin of HBL ENGINEERING LTD is 21.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
Revenue at HBL ENGINEERING LTD is growing +6.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE)?
Earnings per share at HBL ENGINEERING LTD are growing −23.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does HBL ENGINEERING LTD (HBLENGINE) hold?
HBL ENGINEERING LTD holds more cash than debt, ₹4.9B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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