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HBM Holdings (HBMHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.3B

HH HBM Holdings logo HBM Holdings HBMHF · US
Price$1.56
Fair Value$1.86
Upside+19.2%
Quality72/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 57.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 83/100
Evidence: High Range $1.43 – $2.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $1.98 to $1.86 (−6.1%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, screening 19% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from $1.43 (bear) to $2.33 (bull), base $1.86. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$2.52 $0.1854 Fair Value $1.86 Mar 2022 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range $0.1854 – $2.52 · fair‑value band $1.43 – $2.33 · the $1.56 price screens below the $1.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

HBM Holdings (HBMHF) currently trades at $1.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.86, implying the stock looks roughly 19.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, HBM Holdings generated revenue of $158M at a net margin of 57.8%. Revenue grew 293.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $320M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.43 (bear case) to $2.33 (bull case); at $1.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 19%, HBMHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.52 $2.30 $3.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.18 $1.63 $2.58 74
ROIC Compounder $1.16 $1.25 $1.33 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.59 $2.12 $3.67 38
Owner Earnings $1.71 $3.06 $5.56 31
5Y Revenue Exit $1.12 $1.48 $2.23 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.55 $2.35 $3.91 41
5Y P/E Exit $2.07 $4.16 $7.02 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.27 $1.95 $2.31 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.57 $2.79 $4.89 37
10Y P/E Exit $1.92 $3.83 $6.99 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.7400 $5.19 $7.29 54
Lynch FV $2.68 $3.83 $4.98 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.68 $3.83 $4.98 46
EPV $1.16 $1.25 $1.33 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.81 $2.41 $3.01 63
P/S Multiple $0.5000 $0.6600 $0.8300 58
P/B Multiple $1.40 $1.86 $2.33 55
EV/EBIT $1.69 $2.10 $2.51 53
EV/EBITDA $1.51 $1.86 $2.20 54
EV/Revenue $0.8600 $1.03 $1.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2200 $0.2900 $0.4400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.52 $2.30 $3.51 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1.18 $1.63 $2.58 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.6300 $0.8600 $3.94 61
ROIC Compounder $1.16 $1.25 $1.33 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.56 $5.09 $6.61 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($5.09) versus Asset-Based ($0.2900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $158M
Revenue growth (YoY) +294%
Net margin 57.8%
Return on equity 37.6%
Free cash flow $69.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.0
More key figures
Operating margin 21.7%
EPS (TTM) $0.1200
EPS growth (YoY) +1,132%
Net cash $320M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 17
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 56
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HBM Holdings Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of antibody therapeutics focusing on immunology and oncology in Mainland China, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

HBM Holdings Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of antibody therapeutics focusing on immunology and oncology in Mainland China, the United States, Europe, and internationally. It develops the Harbour Mice Platform, which generates human monoclonal antibodies in two heavy and two light chain H2L2 and heavy chain formats. The company is developing Batoclimab (HBM9161), a human monoclonal antibody that selectively binds and inhibits the neonatal fragment crystallizable receptor for treating myasthenia gravis; Porustobart HBM4003, a human anti-CTLA-4 antibody against cytotoxic T-lymphocyte-associated antigen-4 for treating melanoma, colorectal cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, and neuroendocrine neoplasm. It is developing HBM7020 for treating hepatocellular carcinoma and autoimmune diseases; HBM9378 for the treatment of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; and HBM1020, HBM7022, HBM7008, HBM9027, HBM7004, and HBM9033 for treating solid tumors. The company has a strategic collaboration with Evinova to apply AI and digital technologies to enhance the efficiency of biologics development. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Suzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HBM Holdings reported revenue of $158M in FY2025 versus $4.3M in FY2021, a compound +146.4%/yr. Reported net income was $91.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$158M
Latest YoY
+315.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+57.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+62.2%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+94.9%
Revenue +146.4%/yr
FY21 $4.3M
FY22 $40.8M
FY23 $89.5M
FY24 $38.1M
FY25 $158M
Net income
FY21 −$137M
FY22 −$138M
FY23 $22.8M
FY24 $2.8M
FY25 $91.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HBM Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HBMHF

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 603 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +19% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Return on assets 14% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 58% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 294% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 3.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.25× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 18.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 59 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 98 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HBM Holdings (HBMHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.86 versus a price of $1.56, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HBMHF?
Our model-based fair value for HBM Holdings is $1.86 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.56.
What is the quality score of HBMHF?
HBM Holdings has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HBM Holdings (HBMHF)?
HBM Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $158M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HBMHF?
The net profit margin of HBM Holdings is about 57.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 57.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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