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HCI Group (HCI) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $1.9B

Price$174.97
Fair Value$304.51
Upside+74.0%
Quality91/100
Evidence: High Range $228.39 – $380.64

Analysis

HCI Group (HCI) currently trades at $174.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $304.51 — implying the stock looks roughly 74.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 91/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

HCI Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property and casualty insurance business in the United States. The company operates through Insurance Operations, Exzeo, Reciprocal Exchange Operations, and Real Estate segments. It provides homeowners' property and casualty insurance products; claim adjusting and processing services; turnkey insurance technology and operations solutions to property and casualty insurance carriers and its agents through the Exzeo platform; and SAMSTM, a web-based system designed to automate and streamline the process of managing insurance policies. The company also offers Harmony, a policy administration platform; ClaimColony, an end-to-end claims management platform; AtlasViewer, a mapping and data visualization platform. In addition, it is involved in reciprocal exchange operations; and developing and operating commercial properties for investment purposes. The company was formerly known as Homeowners Choice, Inc. and changed its name…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.