PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk (HDFA) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · ID · Market cap 569B IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +10.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (49.97 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 78.00 IDR – 292.00 IDR · fair‑value band 32.98 IDR – 49.97 IDR · the 98.00 IDR price screens above the 49.97 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk (HDFA) currently trades at 98.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49.97 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 58.1B IDR. Revenue grew 296.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.6%. Net debt stands at 2.7T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 32.98 IDR (bear case) to 49.97 IDR (bull case); at 98.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -49%, HDFA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk engages in financing activities in Indonesia. The company offers investment financing, working capital financing, multipurpose financing, sharia financing, factoring financing, asset-based financing, selling and buying financing, services financing, and other financing services, as well as business capital facilities.
Full company description
PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk engages in financing activities in Indonesia. The company offers investment financing, working capital financing, multipurpose financing, sharia financing, factoring financing, asset-based financing, selling and buying financing, services financing, and other financing services, as well as business capital facilities. The company was formerly known as PT HD Finance Tbk and changed its name to PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk in June 2014. PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk was incorporated in 1972 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk is a subsidiary of Rubicon Investments Holding Pte. Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Radana Bhaskara Finance Tbk reported revenue of 418B IDR in FY2025 versus 158B IDR in FY2021, a compound +27.6%/yr. Reported net income was −81.6B IDR in FY2025.
HDFA screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →
Peer Group
Credit Services · 331 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $348.97 | $204.19 | -41% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $537.70 | $221.87 | -59% |
| American Express Company AXP | $358.44 | $206.40 | -42% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,056 | ₹397.61 | -62% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,024 | ₹553.83 | -46% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,808 | ₹796.52 | -56% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹360.60 | ₹229.85 | -36% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹405.10 | ₹810.20 | +100% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹3,129 | ₹3,463 | +11% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.41 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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