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HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹11.1T

HB HDFC Bank Limited HDFCBANK · BSE
Price₹726.50
Fair Value₹669.25
Upside-7.9%
Quality41/100
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Strengths

Highly profitable · 26.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 75/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth
Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 26.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.52% dividend yield
Wide moat 75/100
Evidence: High Range ₹501.93 – ₹836.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Share price −4.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹996.31 ₹606.42 Fair Value ₹669.25 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹606.42 – ₹996.31 · fair‑value band ₹501.93 – ₹836.56 · the ₹726.50 price screens above the ₹669.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

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Analysis

HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) currently trades at ₹726.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹669.25, implying the stock looks roughly 7.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, HDFC Bank Limited generated revenue of ₹2.8T at a net margin of 26.2%. Revenue grew 26.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.0%. Net debt stands at ₹2.8T. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹501.93 (bear case) to ₹836.56 (bull case); at ₹726.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at -8%, HDFCBANK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹456.98 ₹499.01 ₹701.97 76
Gordon GGM ₹136.94 ₹298.96 ₹503.02 70
P/E Multiple ₹446.56 ₹595.42 ₹744.27 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹136.94 ₹298.96 ₹503.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹136.94 ₹244.90 ₹311.57 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹446.56 ₹595.42 ₹744.27 63
P/B Multiple ₹557.30 ₹743.07 ₹928.84 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹265.38 ₹355.61 ₹530.76 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹456.98 ₹499.01 ₹701.97 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (₹595.42) versus Dividend Discount (₹244.90). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹2.8T
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.4%
Net margin 26.2%
Return on equity 14.0%
Free cash flow ₹1.1T FY2026
P/E ratio 16.2
More key figures
Operating margin 34.8%
EPS (TTM) ₹44.81
Dividend yield 1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.5%
Net debt ₹2.8T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HDFC Bank Limited engages in the provision of banking and financial services to individuals and businesses in India, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Dubai. The company operates in three segments: Treasury, Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Other Banking Services.

Full company description

HDFC Bank Limited engages in the provision of banking and financial services to individuals and businesses in India, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Dubai. The company operates in three segments: Treasury, Retail Banking, Wholesale Banking, and Other Banking Services. It accepts savings, salary, current, rural, public provident fund, pension, and demat accounts; fixed and recurring deposits; and safe deposit lockers, as well as offshore accounts and deposits, and overdrafts against fixed deposits. The company also provides personal, home, car, two-wheeler, business, doctor, educational, gold, consumer, and rural loans; loans against properties, securities, mutual funds, rental receivables, and assets; loans for professionals; government sponsored programs; and loans on credit card, as well as working capital and commercial/construction equipment finance, healthcare/medical equipment and commercial vehicle finance, dealer finance, and term loans. In addition, it offers credit, debit, prepaid, and forex cards; payment and collection, export, import, remittance, bank guarantee, letter of credit, trade, hedging, and merchant and cash management services; insurance and investment products. Further, the company provides short term finance, bill discounting, structured finance, export credit, loan repayment, and documents collection services; online and wholesale, mobile, and phone banking services; unified payment interface, immediate payment, national electronic funds transfer, and real time gross settlement services; and channel financing, vendor financing, reimbursement account, money market, derivatives, employee trusts, cash surplus corporates, tax payment, and bankers to rights/public issue services, as well as financial solutions for supply chain partners and agricultural customers. It operates branches and automated teller machines in various cities/towns. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

HDFC Bank Limited reported revenue of ₹1.9T in FY2026 versus ₹1.0T in FY2022, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹705B in FY2026, compounding +16.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.9T
Latest YoY
−18.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.3%
Revenue +17.2%/yr
FY22 ₹1.0T
FY23 ₹1.2T
FY24 ₹2.0T
FY25 ₹2.4T
FY26 ₹1.9T
Net income +16.7%/yr
FY22 ₹381B
FY23 ₹460B
FY24 ₹641B
FY25 ₹708B
FY26 ₹705B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HDFC Bank Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HDFCBANK.BSE

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1090 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −38% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 35% · Below median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.36× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.89× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,150 IDR 6,067 IDR +46%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹669.25 versus a price of ₹726.50, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HDFCBANK?
Our model-based fair value for HDFC Bank Limited is ₹669.25 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹726.50.
What is the quality score of HDFCBANK?
HDFC Bank Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HDFC Bank Limited (HDFCBANK)?
HDFC Bank Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.8T (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HDFCBANK?
The net profit margin of HDFC Bank Limited is about 26.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HDFC Bank Limited pay a dividend?
HDFC Bank Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.52% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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