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HDFC Life Insurance Company (HDFCLIFE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹1.2T

HL HDFC Life Insurance Company HDFCLIFE · NSE
Price₹542.50
Fair Value₹114.46
Upside-78.9%
Quality48/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range ₹85.85 – ₹143.08 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from ₹115.23 to ₹114.46 (−0.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −5.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹143.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹808.59 ₹453.92 Fair Value ₹114.46 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹453.92 – ₹808.59 · fair‑value band ₹85.85 – ₹143.08 · the ₹542.50 price screens above the ₹114.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

HDFC Life Insurance Company (HDFCLIFE) currently trades at ₹542.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹114.46, implying the stock looks roughly 78.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, HDFC Life Insurance Company generated revenue of ₹999B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue declined 17.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at ₹11.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹85.85 (bear case) to ₹143.08 (bull case); at ₹542.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -79%, HDFCLIFE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹2,351 ₹4,433 ₹8,316 80
Residual Income ₹74.44 ₹86.05 ₹168.16 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹764.42 ₹1,013 ₹1,347 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹2,383 ₹4,684 ₹9,070 38
Owner Earnings ₹106.93 ₹214.92 ₹420.69 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹764.42 ₹981.78 ₹1,208 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹766.75 ₹986.74 ₹1,209 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹793.40 ₹1,044 ₹1,294 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹1,254 ₹1,653 ₹2,154 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,259 ₹1,657 ₹2,155 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,277 ₹1,700 ₹2,230 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹59.87 ₹310.61 ₹429.58 54
Lynch FV ₹84.99 ₹121.42 ₹157.84 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹84.99 ₹121.42 ₹157.84 46
EPV ₹76.21 ₹90.56 ₹103.31 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹22.10 ₹48.25 ₹81.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹22.10 ₹39.52 ₹50.28 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹132.07 ₹176.09 ₹220.12 63
P/S Multiple ₹112.26 ₹149.68 ₹187.10 58
P/B Multiple ₹112.26 ₹149.68 ₹187.10 55
EV/EBIT ₹116.87 ₹157.52 ₹198.18 53
EV/EBITDA ₹86.52 ₹117.06 ₹147.60 54
EV/Revenue ₹77.11 ₹112.35 ₹147.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹40.86 ₹54.75 ₹81.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹2,351 ₹4,433 ₹8,316 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹764.42 ₹1,013 ₹1,347 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹74.44 ₹86.05 ₹168.16 76
ROIC Compounder ₹76.21 ₹102.85 ₹135.70 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹124.10 ₹177.28 ₹230.47 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,044) versus Dividend Discount (₹39.52). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹999B
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.7%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 10.8%
Free cash flow ₹363B FY2026
P/E ratio 64.9
More key figures
Operating margin 1.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹9.14
EPS growth (YoY) +4.1%
Net debt ₹11.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited provides individual and group insurance solutions in India. It offers insurance and investment products, such as protection, pension, savings, investment, annuity, and health, as well as term, investment, and life insurance plans.

Full company description

HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited provides individual and group insurance solutions in India. It offers insurance and investment products, such as protection, pension, savings, investment, annuity, and health, as well as term, investment, and life insurance plans. The company was formerly known as HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company Limited changed its name to HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited in January 2019. HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India. HDFC Life Insurance Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of HDFC Bank Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

HDFC Life Insurance Company reported revenue of ₹1.0T in FY2026 versus ₹674B in FY2022, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹19.1B in FY2026, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.0T
Latest YoY
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+16.3%
Revenue +10.4%/yr
FY22 ₹674B
FY23 ₹702B
FY24 ₹958B
FY25 ₹901B
FY26 ₹1.0T
Net income +9.6%/yr
FY22 ₹13.3B
FY23 ₹13.7B
FY24 ₹15.7B
FY25 ₹18.1B
FY26 ₹19.1B

HDFCLIFE screens 79% overvalued. Compare with China Life Insurance Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HDFC Life Insurance Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HDFCLIFE

Peer Group

Insurance - Life · 96 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.18× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Life median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 51.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 75 · sector 44
PAST 43 · sector 42
HEALTH 91 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Life stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Life Insurance Company 601628 ¥38.72 ¥70.87 +83%
Ping An Insurance (Group) Company 601318 ¥49.60 ¥96.76 +95%
AIA Group 1299 HK$75.55 HK$7.88 -90%
Manulife Financial Corporation MFC C$58.52 C$45.13 -23%
Great-West Lifeco Inc GWO C$92.34 C$59.64 -35%
Life Insurance Corporation LICI ₹438.30 ₹590.43 +35%
Fubon Financial Holding 2881 124.50 TWD 115.05 TWD -8%
Cathay Financial Holding 2882 94.00 TWD 94.95 TWD +1%
Samsung Life Insurance Co 032830 337,500 KRW 166,710 KRW -51%
China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co 601601 ¥29.75 ¥59.50 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HDFC Life Insurance Company (HDFCLIFE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹114.46 versus a price of ₹542.50, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HDFCLIFE?
Our model-based fair value for HDFC Life Insurance Company is ₹114.46 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹542.50.
What is the quality score of HDFCLIFE?
HDFC Life Insurance Company has a Quality Score of 48/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HDFC Life Insurance Company (HDFCLIFE)?
HDFC Life Insurance Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹999B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HDFCLIFE?
The net profit margin of HDFC Life Insurance Company is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does HDFC Life Insurance Company pay a dividend?
HDFC Life Insurance Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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