Ha Do Group (HDG) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · VN · Market cap 7.2T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −9.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 103% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (19,466 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (19,466 VND to 49,912 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13,493 VND – 35,546 VND · fair‑value band 19,466 VND – 49,912 VND · the 17,050 VND price screens below the 34,615 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Ha Do Group (HDG) currently trades at 17,050 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 34,615 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 103.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ha Do Group generated revenue of 2.9T VND at a net margin of 23.2%. Revenue grew 14.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at 4.4T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 19,466 VND (bear case) to 49,912 VND (bull case); at 17,050 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 103%, HDG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (32,182 VND) versus Dividend Discount (3,306 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ha Do Group Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electricity generation, transmission, and distribution activities in Vietnam. It operates through Real Estate Activities; Sales of Electricity; and Leasing Services, Construction Services and Other Activities segments.
Full company description
Ha Do Group Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the electricity generation, transmission, and distribution activities in Vietnam. It operates through Real Estate Activities; Sales of Electricity; and Leasing Services, Construction Services and Other Activities segments. The company is involved in investment, construction, and trading in real estate properties; hospitality services; and rents office, as well as engages in generation, transmission and distribution of electricity; and rendering hotel services, leasing services for office buildings, commercial areas, construction, and other related services. It also engages in design and construction investment consultancy; and real estate auction services. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Hanoi, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ha Do Group reported revenue of 2.8T VND in FY2025 versus 3.8T VND in FY2021, a compound −7.3%/yr. Reported net income was 770B VND in FY2025, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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