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HYDROTOR SA (HDR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 27.8M PLN

HS HYDROTOR SA HDR · WAR
Price9.42 PLN
Fair Value7.64 PLN
Upside-18.9%
Quality51/100
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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Trades 23% ABOVE our fair value of 7.64 PLN
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -11.7% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.3 %/yr)
Loss-making · -11.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range 6.26 PLN – 10.18 PLN Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from 4.06 PLN to 7.64 PLN (+88.2%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price −13.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 23% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from 6.26 PLN (bear) to 10.18 PLN (bull), base 7.64 PLN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 51/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

39.74 PLN 9.32 PLN Fair Value 7.64 PLN May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.32 PLN – 39.74 PLN · fair‑value band 6.26 PLN – 10.18 PLN · the 9.42 PLN price screens above the 7.64 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

HYDROTOR SA (HDR) currently trades at 9.42 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 7.64 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 18.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, HYDROTOR SA generated revenue of 115M PLN at a net margin of -9.8%. Revenue declined 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.1%. Net debt stands at 15.7M PLN. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.26 PLN (bear case) to 10.18 PLN (bull case); at 9.42 PLN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -19%, HDR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 14.25 PLN 17.56 PLN 22.48 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 11.32 PLN 15.43 PLN 20.59 PLN 74
NCAV (Graham) 22.09 PLN 29.60 PLN 44.18 PLN 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 13.91 PLN 17.43 PLN 23.10 PLN 38
5Y Revenue Exit 11.32 PLN 15.04 PLN 20.43 PLN 39
10Y Revenue Exit 12.31 PLN 14.87 PLN 17.50 PLN 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 9.74 PLN 13.77 PLN 17.79 PLN 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 22.09 PLN 29.60 PLN 44.18 PLN 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 14.25 PLN 17.56 PLN 22.48 PLN 80
Rev-Margin DCF 11.32 PLN 15.43 PLN 20.59 PLN 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (29.60 PLN) versus Multiples (13.77 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.24 TTM
Net margin -11.7% TTM
Return on equity -13.2% TTM
Return on assets -4.6% TTM
Operating margin -8.8% TTM
EPS (TTM) -10.81 PLN
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 115M PLN TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.4% 3y avg -45.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -71.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 4.5M PLN FY2025
Net debt 15.7M PLN FY2025 · ≈ 3.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Przedsiebiorstwo Hydrauliki Silowej HYDROTOR S.A. engages in production and regeneration of power hydraulics elements in Poland, European Union countries, and internationally.

Full company description

Przedsiebiorstwo Hydrauliki Silowej HYDROTOR S.A. engages in production and regeneration of power hydraulics elements in Poland, European Union countries, and internationally. The company offers hydraulic, oil, and hand and foot pumps/motors; cylinder products; and valve products, such as check valves, twin-wheel steering, splitters, cut-off, braking blocks, flow regulator, throttle-cut-off, twin, twin overflow valves, throttling/throttling-reverse, overflow valves, electrically operated, flow divider, 3-way rotary, switching circuit, to turn the plow, reversible distributors, controlled return, marker, and other valve products. It also provides power supply products; RRB, RR, and CETOP/NG PLATES splitter products; spare products; and pumping, flushing, and lubrication units. In addition, it provides regeneration, precision machining of large-size elements, measurement, construction, machining, regeneration and maintenance, and heat treatment services. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Tuchola, Poland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HYDROTOR SA reported revenue of 26.8M PLN in FY2025 versus 131M PLN in FY2021, a compound −32.7%/yr. Reported net income was −3.1M PLN in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
26.8M PLN
Latest YoY
−75.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−45.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (17Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −32.7%/yr
FY21 131M PLN
FY22 166M PLN
FY23 126M PLN
FY24 110M PLN
FY25 26.8M PLN
Net income
FY21 7.1M PLN
FY22 9.0M PLN
FY23 −2.3M PLN
FY24 −12.8M PLN
FY25 −3.1M PLN

HDR screens 19% overvalued. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HYDROTOR SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HDR

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.07× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE8 · sector 16
FUTURE0 · sector 25
PAST0 · sector 27
HEALTH100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND44 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is HYDROTOR SA (HDR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 7.64 PLN versus a price of 9.42 PLN, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HDR?
Our model-based fair value for HYDROTOR SA is 7.64 PLN (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 9.42 PLN.
What is the quality score of HDR?
HYDROTOR SA has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HYDROTOR SA (HDR)?
HYDROTOR SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 115M PLN (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HDR?
The net profit margin of HYDROTOR SA is about -9.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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