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Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company (HENG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TH · Market cap 3.5B THB

HL Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company HENG · BK
Price0.9500 THB
Fair Value0.8700 THB
Upside-8.4%
Quality64/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.86% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range 0.5100 THB – 0.8700 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.8700 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

4.89 THB 0.8500 THB Fair Value 0.8700 THB Oct 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range 0.8500 THB – 4.89 THB · fair‑value band 0.5100 THB – 0.8700 THB · the 0.9500 THB price screens above the 0.8700 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company (HENG) currently trades at 0.9500 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8700 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 8.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company generated revenue of 1.0B THB at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 19.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.9%. Net debt stands at 3.9B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.5100 THB (bear case) to 0.8700 THB (bull case); at 0.9500 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -8%, HENG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 11.23 THB 15.60 THB 21.32 THB 80
Residual Income 0.8900 THB 0.8300 THB 0.5700 THB 76
Gordon GGM 0.4600 THB 0.7900 THB 1.17 THB 70
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 0.1500 THB 0.3500 THB 0.6200 THB 31
5Y P/E Exit 3.96 THB 4.36 THB 4.69 THB 38
10Y P/E Exit 6.57 THB 7.44 THB 8.26 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0600 THB 0.1400 THB 0.1900 THB 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.4600 THB 0.7900 THB 1.17 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.4600 THB 0.6800 THB 0.9000 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0900 THB 0.1200 THB 0.1400 THB 63
P/B Multiple 0.1100 THB 0.1500 THB 0.1900 THB 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6700 THB 0.8900 THB 1.33 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.23 THB 15.60 THB 21.32 THB 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.8900 THB 0.8300 THB 0.5700 THB 76

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (15.60 THB) versus Multiples (0.1200 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.0B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.9%
Net margin 4.3%
Return on equity 0.9%
Free cash flow 4.2B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 47.5
More key figures
Operating margin 33.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.0200 THB
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +45.3%
Net debt 3.9B THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 40
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company Limited provides financial services in Thailand. The company offers hire purchase, loans secured against vehicle registrations, land and building loans, regulated personal loans with and without motor vehicle registration as collateral, and nano finance without collateral.

Full company description

Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company Limited provides financial services in Thailand. The company offers hire purchase, loans secured against vehicle registrations, land and building loans, regulated personal loans with and without motor vehicle registration as collateral, and nano finance without collateral. It also provides secured, unsecured, mortgage, and occupational loans; and non-life and life insurance brokerage services to retail customers. Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company Limited was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in San Sai, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company reported revenue of 2.2B THB in FY2025 versus 1.6B THB in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 34.0M THB in FY2025, compounding −44.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B THB
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.8%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 1.6B THB
FY22 2.1B THB
FY23 2.8B THB
FY24 2.8B THB
FY25 2.2B THB
Net income −44.3%/yr
FY21 354M THB
FY22 461M THB
FY23 422M THB
FY24 73.0M THB
FY25 34.0M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HENG

Peer Group

Credit Services · 331 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Below median
Revenue growth -20% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.27× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 46.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.70× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.40× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 3 · sector 32
HEALTH 87 · sector 58
DIVIDEND 57 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $348.97 $204.19 -41%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $537.70 $221.87 -59%
American Express Company AXP $358.44 $206.40 -42%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,056 ₹397.61 -62%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,024 ₹553.83 -46%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,808 ₹796.52 -56%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹360.60 ₹229.85 -36%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹405.10 ₹810.20 +100%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹3,129 ₹3,463 +11%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.41 ₹69.72 -21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company (HENG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.8700 THB versus a price of 0.9500 THB, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HENG?
Our model-based fair value for Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company is 0.8700 THB (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.9500 THB.
What is the quality score of HENG?
Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company (HENG)?
Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.0B THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HENG?
The net profit margin of Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company pay a dividend?
Heng Leasing and Capital Public Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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