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Heartland Group (HGH) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · AU · Market cap A$1.1B

PriceA$1.00
Fair ValueA$0.4900
Upside-51.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.3700 – A$0.6100

Analysis

Heartland Group (HGH) currently trades at A$1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.4900 — implying the stock looks roughly 51.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Heartland Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in New Zealand and Australia. It operates through Motor, Reverse Mortgages, Personal Lending, Business, Rural, Australian Banking Group, and Other segments. The company offers motor vehicle finance; reverse mortgage lending; and transactional, home loans, and personal loans to individuals. It also provides term debt, plant and equipment finance, commercial mortgage lending and working capital solutions for small-to-medium sized business; and specialist financial services, including livestock finance, rural mortgage lending, seasonal and working capital financing, and leasing solutions to farmers. Heartland Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1875 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.