Patagonia Gold Corp (HGLD) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $193M
Patagonia Gold Corp
HGLD · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −7.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.0301 – $1.00 · the $0.4000 price screens above the $0.0400 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Patagonia Gold Corp (HGLD) currently trades at $0.4000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0400, implying the stock looks roughly 90.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Patagonia Gold Corp generated revenue of $9.9M at a net margin of -76.6%. Revenue grew 74.6% year over year. Net debt stands at $49.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -90%, HGLD screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Patagonia Gold Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties and reserves in Argentina and Chile. It explores gold and silver, as well as vein-type deposits. The company is based in Vancouver, Canada.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Patagonia Gold Corp reported revenue of $9.2M in FY2025 versus $18.1M in FY2021, a compound −15.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$6.5M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fresnillo plc FRES | 750.00 MXN | 924.40 MXN | +23% |
| Valterra Platinum Limited ANGPY | $12.20 | $7.22 | -41% |
| Hecla Mining Company HCL | €15.15 | €10.13 | -33% |
| Northam Platinum Holdings NPTLF | $24.00 | $3.59 | -85% |
| Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN | $32.41 | $28.79 | -11% |
| Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBYSF | $2.54 | $4.34 | +71% |
| China Gold International Resources Corp JINFF | $18.31 | $29.44 | +61% |
| Artemis Gold Inc ARTG | C$31.39 | C$21.86 | -30% |
| Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM | $26.85 | $20.41 | -24% |
| Hochschild Mining plc HCHDF | $7.67 | $9.71 | +27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.