Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd $1.05, price $0.90, upside +17.0%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9000 – $6.86 · fair‑value band $0.8530 – $1.28 · the $0.9000 price screens below the $1.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Hidili Industry International Development Limited, an investment holding company engages in the production and sales of clean coal and its by-products in the People's Republic of China. The company offers high-ash thermal coal and other products.
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Hidili Industry International Development Limited, an investment holding company engages in the production and sales of clean coal and its by-products in the People's Republic of China. The company offers high-ash thermal coal and other products. It is also involved in the coal mining and development; mine holding and development; and provision of clean coal washing services. Hidili Industry International Development Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Panzhihua, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR (HIIDY) currently trades at $0.9000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.05, implying the stock looks roughly 14.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.05 per share, and 4 of the 10 models we run sit above the $0.9000 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.1561, and 6 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.8530 (bear) to $1.28 (bull), the price of $0.9000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR reported revenue of 1.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound −9.7%/yr. Reported net income was −606M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $41.4M · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) $−1.99 · Net margin −32.1% · Return on equity −77.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% · Operating margin −16.5% · Revenue (TTM) $1.9B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 17%, HIIDY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.8530Fair Value $1.05Bull $1.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.39/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.1% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.8% (2019) → −18.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Thermal Coal · 101 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+17% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−32% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−16% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−25% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Thermal Coal median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HIIDY
Frequently asked questions
Is Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.05 versus a price of $0.9000, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HIIDY?
Our model-based fair value for Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is $1.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.9000.
What is the quality score of HIIDY?
Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8530, optimistic scenario $1.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.05, about +17% upside versus a price of $0.9000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.8530, optimistic scenario $1.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR it is $1.05 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.9000. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HIIDY trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.9000, fair value $1.05, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HIIDY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.9000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.05). For Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR the two are $0.1530 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR at about $41.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.9000; our models calculate a fair value of $1.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HIIDY?
Our models span a range for Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $0.8530, base $1.05, optimistic $1.28 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.9000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −77.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Energy) we also value China Shenhua Energy Company, PT Bayan Resources Tbk.,, Adani Enterprises Limited, Shaanxi Coal Industry Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.9000, calculated fair value $1.05 (+17%), Quality Score 26/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HIIDY calculated?
We run Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $0.9000. Our model-based fair value is $1.05, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
The market capitalisation of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is $41.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is 0.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
Earnings per share at Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR are $−1.99. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
The net margin of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is −32.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is −77.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is 1.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
The operating margin of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is −16.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY)?
Revenue at Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is growing −25.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY) generate?
The free cash flow of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is $44.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hidili Industry International Development Ltd (HIIDY) carry?
The net debt of Hidili Industry International Development Ltd ADR is $7.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026