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National Healthcare Properties, Inc (HLTC) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $264M

Price$8.80
Fair Value$22.00
Upside+150.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range $15.26 – $22.00

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

Analysis

National Healthcare Properties, Inc (HLTC) currently trades at $8.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.00 — implying the stock looks roughly 150.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

National Healthcare Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust for U.S. federal income tax purposes. The Company acquires, owns and manages a diversified portfolio of healthcare-related real estate, focused on outpatient medical facilities and senior housing operating properties. As of September 30, 2025, the Company owned 174 properties (including one land parcel and one property classified as held-for-sale) located in 30 states and comprised of 7.3 million rentable square feet. Substantially all the Company's business is conducted through the OP and its wholly owned subsidiaries, including taxable REIT subsidiaries. Prior to the consummation of the Internalization (as defined below) on September 27, 2024, the Company's former advisor, Healthcare Trust Advisors, LLC, managed its day-to-day business with the assistance of its property manager, Healthcare Trust Properties, LLC the former Advisor and Property Manager were under common control with AR Global Investments, LLC, a…

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Frequently asked questions

Is National Healthcare Properties, Inc (HLTC) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $22.00 versus a price of $8.80 — about +150% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of HLTC?
Our 21-model fair value for National Healthcare Properties, Inc is $22.00 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $8.80.
What is the quality score of HLTC?
National Healthcare Properties, Inc has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.