Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Homebiogas Ltd ILS 0.14, price ILS 0.86, upside -83.2%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4590 ILA – 13.11 ILA · fair‑value band 0.0935 ILA – 0.1785 ILA · the 0.8600 ILA price screens above the 0.1445 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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HomeBiogas Ltd develops, produces, and markets biogas systems for the treatment of organic waste into clean energy for homeowners, farmers, education centers, and community gardens in Israel, Australia, Rwanda, Paraguay, the United States of America, England, and internationally.
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HomeBiogas Ltd develops, produces, and markets biogas systems for the treatment of organic waste into clean energy for homeowners, farmers, education centers, and community gardens in Israel, Australia, Rwanda, Paraguay, the United States of America, England, and internationally. The company offers HomeBiogas 2, a bio-digester that converts kitchen waste into clean cooking gas and liquid bio-fertilizer; HomeBiogas 4, a bio-digester that converts kitchen waste to gas and fertilizer for larger households; HomeBiogas 2 + Toilet, a eco-friendly toilet that converts waste into clean energy; and HomeBiogas 4 + 2 Toilets, a dual-unit bio-toilet for larger households. It also provides additional products, such as annual maintenance kits, annual service kits for old bio-toilets, and countertop biogas stoves. In addition, the company operates an online shop for its products. Its products provide solutions for food waste systems, bio-toilets, dairy farmer systems, and buying carbon. HomeBiogas Ltd was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Beit Yanai, Israel.
Stock analysis
Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS) currently trades at 0.8600 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1445 ILA, 83.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 88/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 0.0935 ILA (bear) to 0.1785 ILA (bull), the price of 0.8600 ILA sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Homebiogas Ltd reported revenue of $3.1M in FY2025 versus $2.5M in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$4.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 32.0M ILA · P/S ratio 8.20 · EPS (TTM) −0.5200 ILA · Net margin −132% · Return on equity −134% · Return on assets (EBIT) −67.7% · Operating margin −87.1% · Revenue (TTM) $3.0M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −83%, HMGS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0935 ILAFair Value 0.1445 ILABull 0.1785 ILA
Price 0.8600 ILA · Upside -83.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−386.7% (2020) → −132.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 198 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Below median
Fair Value upside−83.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−35.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−169.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−87.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.75× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.46× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)46· sector 6
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 44
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Homebiogas Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HMGS
Frequently asked questions
Is Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1445 ILA versus a price of 0.8600 ILA, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HMGS?
Our model-based fair value for Homebiogas Ltd is 0.1445 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.8600 ILA.
What is the quality score of HMGS?
Homebiogas Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1445 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0935 ILA, optimistic scenario 0.1785 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Homebiogas Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1445 ILA, about −83% upside versus a price of 0.8600 ILA (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0935 ILA, optimistic scenario 0.1785 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
Homebiogas Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.0M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Homebiogas Ltd it is 0.1445 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 0.8600 ILA. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Homebiogas Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, HMGS trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.8600 ILA, fair value 0.1445 ILA, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HMGS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.8600 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1445 ILA). For Homebiogas Ltd the two are 0.7155 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Homebiogas Ltd worth?
The market values Homebiogas Ltd at about 32.0M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 0.8600 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1445 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HMGS?
Our models span a range for Homebiogas Ltd: cautious scenario 0.0935 ILA, base 0.1445 ILA, optimistic 0.1785 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 0.8600 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Homebiogas Ltd (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −133.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HMGS from its 52-week high?
Homebiogas Ltd trades at 0.8600 ILA, about 49% below its 52-week high of 1.68 ILA and 87% above the low of 0.4590 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1445 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Homebiogas Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Homebiogas Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 0.8600 ILA, calculated fair value 0.1445 ILA (−83%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HMGS calculated?
We run Homebiogas Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.1445 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Homebiogas Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.8600 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 0.1445 ILA, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Homebiogas Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.1785 ILA). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.0935 ILA to 0.1785 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Homebiogas Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
The market capitalisation of Homebiogas Ltd is 32.0M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Homebiogas Ltd is 8.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
Earnings per share at Homebiogas Ltd are −0.5200 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
The net margin of Homebiogas Ltd is −132% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Homebiogas Ltd is −134% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Homebiogas Ltd is −67.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
The operating margin of Homebiogas Ltd is −87.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS)?
Revenue at Homebiogas Ltd is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −12.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS) generate?
The free cash flow of Homebiogas Ltd is −$2.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Homebiogas Ltd (HMGS) hold?
Homebiogas Ltd holds more cash than debt, $1.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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