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Hanwa Co (HNWAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.1B

HC Hanwa Co logo Hanwa Co HNWAF · US
Price$10.64
Fair Value$17.37
Upside+63.3%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.82% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range $13.03 – $21.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +5.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 63% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($13.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$864,387 $4.39 Fair Value $17.37 Jul 2024 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

24‑month range $4.39 – $864,387 · fair‑value band $13.03 – $21.73 · the $10.64 price screens below the $17.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Hanwa Co (HNWAF) currently trades at $10.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.37, implying the stock looks roughly 63.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hanwa Co generated revenue of $2.7T at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue grew 9.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $266B. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $13.03 (bear case) to $21.73 (bull case); at $10.64, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 63%, HNWAF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple $3,105 $4,140 $5,175 63
Residual Income $1,853 $2,010 $2,510 61
P/B Multiple $2,514 $3,352 $4,190 55
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $1,169 $2,152 $3,536 31
5Y P/E Exit $786.76 $2,196 $3,648 38
10Y P/E Exit $146.46 $1,183 $2,424 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1,341 $3,582 $4,685 54
Lynch FV $695.56 $993.66 $1,292 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3,105 $4,140 $5,175 63
P/B Multiple $2,514 $3,352 $4,190 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,101 $1,476 $2,203 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,853 $2,010 $2,510 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3,352) versus Earnings-Based ($993.66). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.7T
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.8%
Net margin 1.4%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow $1.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.5
More key figures
Operating margin 2.4%
EPS (TTM) $1.30
Dividend yield 3.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.7%
Net debt $266B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hanwa Co., Ltd. sells metals, food, energy and living materials, housing materials, and machinery in Japan, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

Hanwa Co., Ltd. sells metals, food, energy and living materials, housing materials, and machinery in Japan, Asia, and internationally. The company offers deformed steel, threaded reinforcing, mechanical joints, high-strength shear reinforcement, and epoxy-coated reinforcing bars; scrap iron, semi-finished products, used steel materials, as well as various demolition and removal services; rebar processing; H-beams, columns, angles, channels, steel sheet piles, steel pipe piles, segments, carbon fiber sheets, and general construction and civil engineering products. It is also involved in refrigeration business; provision of salmon, shrimp, octopus, mackerel, horse mackerel, herring, shishamo, crab, and chicken products; and sells steel structures. In addition, the company offers copper and aluminum scrap; Zinc, lead, tin ingots and scrap, stainless steel, and high-performance raw material scrap; nickel, cobalt, lithium, palladium, platinum, rhodium, vanadium, silicon, rare earths, magnesium, and other metals, and chemical raw materials; and nickel pig iron, stainless steel semi-finished products, chrome ore, manganese ore, iron ore, coal, ferrochrome, ferrosilicon, silicomanganese, metallic manganese, ferrovanadium, ferroniobium, ferrotitanium, manganese chemical raw materials, and sulfuric acid. Further, it provides heavy oil, kerosene, LPG, LNG, industrial gas, shipping fuel oil, gasoline, diesel, lubricants, PKS, wood pellets, recycled heavy oil, RPF, waste tires, construction waste chips, PAO, PIB, esters, additives, chemicals, paper products, and wastepaper. Additionally, the company offers housing materials; and roller coasters, water rides, merry-go-rounds, kids' attractions, role-play games, water slides, and various fountains. The company was incorporated in 1947 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hanwa Co reported revenue of $2.7T in FY2026 versus $2.2T in FY2022, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was $38.3B in FY2026, compounding −3.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.7T
Latest YoY
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.8%
Revenue +5.3%/yr
FY22 $2.2T
FY23 $2.7T
FY24 $2.4T
FY25 $2.6T
FY26 $2.7T
Net income −3.2%/yr
FY22 $43.6B
FY23 $51.5B
FY24 $38.4B
FY25 $45.5B
FY26 $38.3B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hanwa Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HNWAF

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +63% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.64× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 21
FUTURE 49 · sector 16
PAST 36 · sector 20
HEALTH 68 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 76 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

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The Siam Cement Public Company SCC 254.00 THB 199.40 THB -21%
SRF Limited SRF ₹2,875 ₹1,053 -63%
Empresas Copec S.A COPEC 6,330 CLP 10,879 CLP +72%
Posco International Corporation 047050 50,900 KRW 61,248 KRW +20%
Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA ₹2,940 ₹559.30 -81%
Doosan Corporation 000155 464,000 KRW 75,620 KRW -84%
Thermax Limited THERMAX ₹4,809 ₹1,087 -77%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hanwa Co (HNWAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.37 versus a price of $10.64, about +63% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HNWAF?
Our model-based fair value for Hanwa Co is $17.37 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.64.
What is the quality score of HNWAF?
Hanwa Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hanwa Co (HNWAF)?
Hanwa Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.7T (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HNWAF?
The net profit margin of Hanwa Co is about 1.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hanwa Co pay a dividend?
Hanwa Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.82% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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