Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd ILS 2,437, price ILS 2,084, upside +16.9%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range 19.46 ILA – 2,811 ILA · fair‑value band 1,495 ILA – 3,631 ILA · the 2,084 ILA price screens below the 2,437 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd engages in the real estate business in Israel. The company purchases plots and real estate assets; and constructs and rents commercial centers, including cold storages, bonded and logistics warehouses, archives, light industry facilities, offices, commercial sales centers, and others.
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Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd engages in the real estate business in Israel. The company purchases plots and real estate assets; and constructs and rents commercial centers, including cold storages, bonded and logistics warehouses, archives, light industry facilities, offices, commercial sales centers, and others. It also imports and markets timber and wood products, such as beam, formica, plywood, MDF, whitewood, and hardwood for the furniture industry. Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd was incorporated in 1974 and is based in Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Stock analysis
Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON) currently trades at 2,084 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,437 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 14.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 3,311 ILA per share, and 9 of the 16 models we run sit above the 2,084 ILA price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 380.45 ILA, and 7 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 1,495 ILA (bear) to 3,631 ILA (bull), the price of 2,084 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd reported revenue of 182M ILS in FY2025 versus 245M ILS in FY2021, a compound −7.2%/yr. Reported net income was 88.5M ILS in FY2025, compounding −8.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 977M ILA · P/E ratio 9.1 · P/S ratio 4.40 · EPS (TTM) 230.20 ILA · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 48.6% · Return on equity 7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at 17%, HRON screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,495 ILAFair Value 2,437 ILABull 3,631 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (132.31 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+8.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.6% vs 11%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.52% → 66%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.1% a year for the price.
Compare Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+17% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)66% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)59% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.4% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Is Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,437 ILA versus a price of 2,084 ILA, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HRON?
Our model-based fair value for Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 2,437 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2,084 ILA.
What is the quality score of HRON?
Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2,437 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,495 ILA, optimistic scenario 3,631 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2,437 ILA, about +17% upside versus a price of 2,084 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1,495 ILA, optimistic scenario 3,631 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 130M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd pay a dividend?
Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +8.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HRON use?
Our models discount Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd at 11.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd that is +8.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd grew +3.9 % a year. The price currently implies +8.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (+8.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.17 %: that much free cash flow Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd it is 2,437 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 2,084 ILA. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HRON trades below its calculated fair value: price 2,084 ILA, fair value 2,437 ILA, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HRON?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2,084 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2,437 ILA). For Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd the two are 352.51 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd worth?
The market values Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd at about 977M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 2,084 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 2,437 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HRON?
Our models span a range for Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd: cautious scenario 1,495 ILA, base 2,437 ILA, optimistic 3,631 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 2,084 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HRON?
Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2,437 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 4.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HRON from its 52-week high?
Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd trades at 2,084 ILA, about 26% below its 52-week high of 2,811 ILA and 4% above the low of 2,001 ILA (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2,437 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 2,084 ILA, calculated fair value 2,437 ILA (+17%), Quality Score 74/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HRON calculated?
We run Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2,437 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was 2,084 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 2,437 ILA, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (1,495 ILA to 3,631 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON) come from?
Earnings per share at Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd grew +7.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.9 %, EBIT margin +5.8 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
The market capitalisation of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 977M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 4.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
Earnings per share at Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd are 230.20 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
The dividend yield of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 2.4% (payout 21.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
The net margin of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 48.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 9.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
The operating margin of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 58.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
Revenue at Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is growing +8.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON)?
Earnings per share at Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd are growing +0.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd (HRON) carry?
The net debt of Hiron-Trade Investments & Industrial Buildings Ltd is 45.1M ILA (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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