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Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company (HSBK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · GB · Market cap $242B · ISIN US46627J3023

What is Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company really worth?

HB Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company HSBK · LSE
Price$34.20
Fair Value$45.06
Upside+31.8%
Quality56/100

A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of $45.06.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company is $45.06 per share against a price of $34.20, so the fair value sits 32% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +37.8 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 56.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Wide moat 76/100

Risks

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $33.79 – $56.32

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $0.0400 to $45.06 (+112,547.3%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +3.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$35.55 $4.16 Fair Value $45.06 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.16 – $35.55 · fair‑value band $33.79 – $56.32 · the $34.20 price screens below the $45.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company (HSBK) currently trades at $34.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.06, implying the stock looks roughly 24.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 26 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company generated revenue of $1.9T at a net margin of 56.3%. Revenue declined 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $523B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $33.79 (bear case) to $56.32 (bull case); at $34.20, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 32%, HSBK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $5.21 per share, which is 11.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple best evidence $1,456 $1,941 $2,427 63
Residual Income $1,115 $1,551 $12,960 58
P/B Multiple $518.53 $691.37 $864.21 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple best evidence $1,456 $1,941 $2,427 63
P/B Multiple $518.53 $691.37 $864.21 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $246.92 $330.87 $493.84 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,115 $1,551 $12,960 58

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($1,551) versus Asset-Based ($330.87). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 0.0 as of Jul 16, 2026
EPS (TTM) $7.47 price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.0
Net margin 33.9% FY2025
Return on equity 29.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% avg 5y
Revenue (TTM) $1.9T TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −6.8% 3y avg +21.8%
EPS growth (YoY) −14.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $586B FY2025
Net cash $523B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides corporate and retail banking services in the Republic of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Georgia, and Uzbekistan. It operates through four segments: Corporate Banking, SME Banking, Retail Banking, and Investment Banking.

Full company description

Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides corporate and retail banking services in the Republic of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Georgia, and Uzbekistan. It operates through four segments: Corporate Banking, SME Banking, Retail Banking, and Investment Banking. The company's products and services include current, education, term deposit, flexible deposit, accumulative deposit, deposit guarantee, and correspondent accounts; various deposit products; investment savings products; credit, digital, cash deposit, employees, business, first fuel for business, card for SP, card for IE, payroll, salary project, customs, and debit cards; consumer loans and mortgages; consumer loan, refinancing, mortgage, digital mortgage, housing mortgage, online, agriculture, auto, digital auto, and soft car custody loans, and foreign currency related services; overdrafts; other credit facilities; and letters of credit, trade finance products, foreign exchange, interbank operations, cash services, and documentary services. It also offers gold investment, metal account, cash services, safe boxes, transaction service, online services, custody, correspondent relations, treasury products, payment system, digital blank tender and digital blank performance guarantees, and letter of credit for business. The company was formerly known as Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company and changed its name to Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company in June 2023. The company was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Almaty, the Republic of Kazakhstan. Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company operates as a subsidiary of JSC Holding Group ALMEX.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 3.1T KZT in FY2025 versus 791B KZT in FY2021, a compound +41.0%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1T KZT in FY2025, compounding +23.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.1T
Latest YoY
+78.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +26.3% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in USD
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+26.3%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 26.3% vs 10Y 24.4%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.66.8% (2020) → 41.6% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop65% (2009) · in USD
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 53% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +41.0%/yr
FY21 791B KZT
FY22 1.7T KZT
FY23 1.3T KZT
FY24 1.7T KZT
FY25 3.1T KZT
Net income +23.0%/yr
FY21 462B KZT
FY22 569B KZT
FY23 693B KZT
FY24 921B KZT
FY25 1.1T KZT
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +25.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +28.4 %

of which total revenue +28.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.1 %

EBIT margin −8.6 %
Tax rate +0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +6.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HSBK

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1070 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 56% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −7% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.28× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE76 · sector 32
FUTURE0 · sector 45
PAST100 · sector 41
HEALTH86 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.18 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €104.54 €144.64 +38%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,423 ₹835.21 −41%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company (HSBK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.06 versus a price of $34.20, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HSBK?
Our model-based fair value for Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company is $45.06 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $34.20.
What is the quality score of HSBK?
Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company (HSBK)?
Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9T (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HSBK?
The net profit margin of Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan Joint Stock Company is about 56.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 56.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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