Fusion Fuel Green PLC (HTOO) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $9.4M · ISIN IE00BNC17X36
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 45 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $10.02 to $3.75 (−62.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −18.0% over the past month.
A solid business, trading 44% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($2.80 to $5.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.01 – $539.70 · fair‑value band $2.80 – $5.60 · the $2.11 price screens below the $3.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Fusion Fuel Green PLC (HTOO) currently trades at $2.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.75, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Fusion Fuel Green PLC generated revenue of $14.4M at a net margin of -11.8%. It earns a return on equity of -5.3%. Net debt stands at $1.6M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.80 (bear case) to $5.60 (bull case); at $2.11, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 77%, HTOO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 0
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Fusion Fuel Green PLC, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells miniaturized PEM electrolyzers to produce green hydrogen in Portugal, Spain, and the rest of Southern Europe. The company offers HEVO-Chain, a centralized PEM electrolyzer; and HEVO-Solar, a grid-independent hydrogen generator.
Full company description
Fusion Fuel Green PLC, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells miniaturized PEM electrolyzers to produce green hydrogen in Portugal, Spain, and the rest of Southern Europe. The company offers HEVO-Chain, a centralized PEM electrolyzer; and HEVO-Solar, a grid-independent hydrogen generator. It also provides engineering and procurement services; FEL I, II, and III studies; construction and legalization services; and operation and maintenance services. In addition, the company is involved in hydrogen project development and LPG solutions, including consulting, design, supply, installation, maintenance, and transportation of LPG in both bulk and cylinder formats, as well as the design and operation of central gas systems, metered utility services, and maintenance. It serves commercial buildings, mixed-use apartment complexes, shopping centers, food courts, heavy industries, labor accommodations, catering units, commercial kitchens, and dining establishments. Fusion Fuel Green PLC was founded in 2018 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fusion Fuel Green PLC reported revenue of €13.8M in FY2025 versus €0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −€1.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 217 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | -77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.79 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | -87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | -12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEP BEP | $32.49 | $70.40 | +117% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | -5% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | -32% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | -53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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