Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd ₹298, price ₹516, upside -42.3%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹302.98 – ₹1,272 · fair‑value band ₹164.22 – ₹524.04 · the ₹516.25 price screens above the ₹298.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL) currently trades at ₹516.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹298.15, 42.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹164.22 (bear) to ₹524.04 (bull), the price of ₹516.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd reported revenue of ₹5.4B in FY2025 versus ₹5.3B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −₹184M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.7B (≈ $38.7M) · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) ₹−37.28 · Net margin −3.4% · Return on equity −22.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% · Operating margin 6.4% · Revenue (TTM) ₹4.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −42%, HUIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹164.22Fair Value ₹298.15Bull ₹524.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.10/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.3%
’19
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−0.7% (2020) → −5.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Components & Equipment” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5266 stocks
Beats the sector median on 0/7 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−42.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−3.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−19.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)6.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−43.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.58× · Highest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 17
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)71· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 37
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹298.15 versus a price of ₹516.25, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HUIL?
Our model-based fair value for Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is ₹298.15 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹516.25.
What is the quality score of HUIL?
Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹298.15 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹164.22, optimistic scenario ₹524.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹298.15, about −42% upside versus a price of ₹516.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹164.22, optimistic scenario ₹524.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹4.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd it is ₹298.15 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹516.25. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, HUIL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹516.25, fair value ₹298.15, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HUIL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹516.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹298.15). For Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd the two are ₹218.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd worth?
The market values Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd at about ₹3.7B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹516.25; our models calculate a fair value of ₹298.15 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HUIL?
Our models span a range for Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd: cautious scenario ₹164.22, base ₹298.15, optimistic ₹524.04 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹516.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −22.1%, debt of 0.58 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HUIL from its 52-week high?
Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd trades at ₹516.25, about 59% below its 52-week high of ₹1,272 and 37% above the low of ₹376.46 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹298.15 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ELPROINTL, Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹516.25, calculated fair value ₹298.15 (−42%), Quality Score 42/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HUIL calculated?
We run Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹298.15, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹516.25. Our model-based fair value is ₹298.15, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd right now?
Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹164.22 to ₹524.04). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
The market capitalisation of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is ₹3.7B (≈ $38.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is 0.88 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
Earnings per share at Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd are ₹−37.28. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
The net margin of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is −3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is −22.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
The operating margin of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL)?
Revenue at Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is growing −43.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL) generate?
The free cash flow of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is −₹143M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd (HUIL) carry?
The net debt of Hindusthan Urban Infrastructure Ltd is ₹3.0B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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