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Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Hollywall Entertainment Inc stock $0.03, price $0.04, that is 34.8% below the price, quality 63 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 18 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Thin data
Nov 7, 2026
Thin data
Nov 7, 2026
Hollywall Entertainment Inc
HWAL · USExpensive, in a downtrend
Our calculation puts a fair price 35% below what the stock costs today.
Quality 63/100
Highly profitable · 45.6% net margin (FY2025)
Generates free cash flow
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −11.2 %/yr in USD)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Mixed vs. peers (3/7)
Wide moat 83/100 · thin data
Fair value $0.0254 · Overvalued
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0031 – $20.11 · fair‑value band $0.0254 – $0.0287 · the $0.0390 price screens above the $0.0254 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.
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Company profile
HWAL Inc., a holding company, focuses on entertainment, Real World Assets, space archiving, and digital media assets. It curates and preserves music and visual arts assets, including rare and coveted music recordings, photos, and videos various music recording artists.
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The company was formerly known as Hollywall Entertainment, Inc. HWAL Inc. is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Stock analysis
Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL) currently trades at $0.0390, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0254, 35% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.0200 per share, and 0 of the 18 models we run sit above the $0.0390 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 18 of the 18 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0254 (bear) to $0.0287 (bull), the price of $0.0390 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2015: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2015.
Hollywall Entertainment Inc reported revenue of $303K in FY2025 versus $524K in FY2021, a compound −12.8%/yr. Reported net income was $138K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $5.7M Micro · P/S ratio 8.84 · EPS (TTM) $−25.34 · Net margin 45.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1,825% (5-year average) · Operating margin −943% · Revenue (TTM) $575K · Free cash flow $43.3K.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 83 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 77% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −35%, HWAL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0254
Fair Value $0.0254
Bull $0.0287
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0200
80
Growth DCF
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0200
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
71
All 18 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0200
80
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0200
71
5Y P/E Exit
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0300
67
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0200
64
10Y P/E Exit
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0200
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
67
EPV
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
70
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.0200
$0.0200
$0.0300
63
P/S Multiple
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
58
EV/EBIT
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0200
60
EV/EBITDA
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
64
EV/Revenue
n/a
$0.0100
$0.0100
49
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0200
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder
$0.0100
$0.0100
$0.0100
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.0100
$0.0200
$0.0200
68
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
63/100
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Profitability
100
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth
80
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow
55
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength
29
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment
50
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility
50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum
4
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high
5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares
40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
55/100
Spin-off in 2015: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2015.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.1% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.1%
’12
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’20
’21
’22
’23
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−901.6% (2020) → 45.6% (2025)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+50.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +46.9% a year for the price.
HWAL screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Compare Hollywall Entertainment Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 221 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- EV/EBITDA by industry
- Dividend yield by industry
- PEG screener for stocks with fair value
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universal Music Group UMG | €17.10 | €19.56 | +14% | vs HWAL |
| Fox Corporation FOX | $59.50 | $65.92 | +11% | vs HWAL |
| Netflix, Inc NFLX | $63.41 | $69.75 | +10% | vs HWAL |
| Formula One Group FWONK | $106.33 | $112.18 | +6% | vs HWAL |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $116.75 | $101.07 | −13% | vs HWAL |
| News Corporation NWS | $28.96 | $17.05 | −41% | vs HWAL |
| Roku, Inc ROKU | $160.52 | $71.66 | −55% | vs HWAL |
| TKO Group TKO | $191.00 | $69.66 | −64% | vs HWAL |
| Warner Music Group WMG | $31.30 | $10.61 | −66% | vs HWAL |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $175.25 | $47.75 | −73% | vs HWAL |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0254 versus a price of $0.0390, about 35% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HWAL?
Our model-based fair value for Hollywall Entertainment Inc is $0.0254 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0390.
What is the quality score of HWAL?
Hollywall Entertainment Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0254 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0254, optimistic scenario $0.0287. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hollywall Entertainment Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0254, about 35% lower versus a price of $0.0390 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0254, optimistic scenario $0.0287. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
Hollywall Entertainment Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $575K (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Hollywall Entertainment Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +50.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -11.2 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HWAL use?
Our models discount Hollywall Entertainment Inc at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Hollywall Entertainment Inc that is +50.3 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Hollywall Entertainment Inc grew -11.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +50.3 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Hollywall Entertainment Inc (+50.3 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.76 %: that much free cash flow Hollywall Entertainment Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hollywall Entertainment Inc it is $0.0254 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of $0.0390. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Hollywall Entertainment Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, HWAL trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0390, fair value $0.0254, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HWAL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0390); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0254). For Hollywall Entertainment Inc the two are $0.0136 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hollywall Entertainment Inc worth?
The market values Hollywall Entertainment Inc at about $5.7M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is $0.0390; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0254 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HWAL?
Our models span a range for Hollywall Entertainment Inc: cautious scenario $0.0254, base $0.0254, optimistic $0.0287 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price $0.0390). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hollywall Entertainment Inc (as of Nov 7, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HWAL from its 52-week high?
Hollywall Entertainment Inc trades at $0.0390, about 77% below its 52-week high of $0.1700 and 56% above the low of $0.0250 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0254 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hollywall Entertainment Inc?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, TKO Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hollywall Entertainment Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price $0.0390, calculated fair value $0.0254 (−35%), Quality Score 63/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HWAL calculated?
We run Hollywall Entertainment Inc through 18 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.0254 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Hollywall Entertainment Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $0.0390. Our model-based fair value is $0.0254, about 35% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hollywall Entertainment Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0287). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band ($0.0254 to $0.0287), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Hollywall Entertainment Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
The market capitalisation of Hollywall Entertainment Inc is $5.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hollywall Entertainment Inc is 8.84 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
Earnings per share at Hollywall Entertainment Inc are $−25.34. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
The net margin of Hollywall Entertainment Inc is 45.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hollywall Entertainment Inc is −1,825% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL)?
The operating margin of Hollywall Entertainment Inc is −943% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much net debt does Hollywall Entertainment Inc (HWAL) carry?
The net debt of Hollywall Entertainment Inc is $176K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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