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HWAL Inc (HWAL) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $13.1M

HI HWAL Inc logo HWAL Inc HWAL · US
Price$0.1500
Fair Value$0.0180
Upside-88.0%
Quality57/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/8)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0180 – $0.0180 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 20 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0143 to $0.0180 (+26.3%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +100.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 88% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0180). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.11 $0.0031 Fair Value $0.0180 Mar 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0031 – $20.11 · the $0.1500 price screens above the $0.0180 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

HWAL Inc (HWAL) currently trades at $0.1500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0180, implying the stock looks roughly 88.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $575K. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -88%, HWAL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0100 $0.0100 72
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 68
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0100 $0.0200 67
All 20 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0100 $0.0100 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0100 $0.0100 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0300 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.0100 $0.0300 $0.0500 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0100 $0.0100 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0300 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0400 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0100 $0.0500 $0.0600 54
Lynch FV $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0400 46
EPV $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 63
P/S Multiple $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 58
EV/EBIT $0.0100 $0.0200 $0.0200 53
EV/EBITDA $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0200 54
EV/Revenue $0.0100 $0.0100 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0100 $0.0100 72
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0100 $0.0200 67
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0600 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($0.0400) versus DCF Models ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $575K
Free cash flow $43.3K FY2025
Operating margin -943%
EPS (TTM) $-170.83
Net debt $176K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 100
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HWAL Inc., a holding company, focuses on entertainment, Real World Assets, space archiving, and digital media assets. It curates and preserves music and visual arts assets, including rare and coveted music recordings, photos, and videos various music recording artists. The company was formerly known as Hollywall Entertainment, Inc. HWAL Inc.

Full company description

HWAL Inc., a holding company, focuses on entertainment, Real World Assets, space archiving, and digital media assets. It curates and preserves music and visual arts assets, including rare and coveted music recordings, photos, and videos various music recording artists. The company was formerly known as Hollywall Entertainment, Inc. HWAL Inc. is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HWAL Inc reported revenue of $303K in FY2025 versus $524K in FY2021, a compound −12.8%/yr. Reported net income was $138K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$303K
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.2%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.1%
Revenue −12.8%/yr
FY21 $524K
FY22 $428K
FY23 $187K
FY24 $25.5K
FY25 $303K
Net income
FY21 −$23.8M
FY22 −$2.4M
FY23 −$2.5M
FY24 $4.0K
FY25 $138K

HWAL screens 88% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HWAL Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HWAL

Peer Group

Entertainment · 265 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 22.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 302.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HWAL Inc (HWAL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0180 versus a price of $0.1500, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HWAL?
Our model-based fair value for HWAL Inc is $0.0180 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1500.
What is the quality score of HWAL?
HWAL Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HWAL Inc (HWAL)?
HWAL Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $575K (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HWAL?
The net profit margin of HWAL Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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