Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 9, 2026: fair value of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft €5.61, price €5.25, upside +6.9%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.90 – €5.31 · fair‑value band €5.01 – €6.14 · the €5.25 price screens below the €5.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 5, 2026.
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Hyrican Informationssysteme provides IT system services in Germany. The company offers PCs, notebooks, servers, workstations, and peripherals, as well as classroom solutions. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Kindelbrück, Germany.
Stock analysis
Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI) currently trades at €5.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €5.61, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 6.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €7.48 per share, and 8 of the 13 models we run sit above the €5.25 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €2.84, and 5 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €5.01 (bear) to €6.14 (bull), the price of €5.25 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €22.5M in FY2025 versus €41.3M in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was €1.7M in FY2025, compounding −5.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €25.5M · P/E ratio 15.4 · P/S ratio 1.13 · EPS (TTM) €0.3400 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 7.3% · Return on equity 6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at 7%, HYI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €5.01Fair Value €5.61Bull €6.14
Price €5.25 · Upside +6.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.2334 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income€4.59€4.76€5.0876
EPV€5.02€5.31€5.5570
ROIC Compounder€5.02€5.31€5.5570
All 13 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd€2.32€2.84€3.1967
EPV€5.02€5.31€5.5570
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM€0.3500€0.3800€0.430069
DDM Multi-Stage€0.3500€0.4300€0.550067
Multiples
P/E Multiple€7.16€9.55€11.9463
P/S Multiple€4.35€5.80€7.2558
P/B Multiple€4.35€5.80€7.2555
EV/EBIT€9.12€11.10€13.0763
EV/Revenue€6.20€7.48€8.7652
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)€2.92€3.91€5.8451
Economic Profit
Residual Income€4.59€4.76€5.0876
ROIC Compounder€5.02€5.31€5.5570
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E€5.01€7.16€9.3167
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 7%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.5%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Computer Hardware · 210 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+6.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6.0% · Below median
Return on assets2.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)7.4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Computer Hardware median · lower = cheaper
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Is Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €5.61 versus a price of €5.25, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HYI?
Our model-based fair value for Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is €5.61 (as of Oct 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €5.25.
What is the quality score of HYI?
Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €5.61 (as of Oct 5, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario €5.01, optimistic scenario €6.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €5.61, about +7% upside versus a price of €5.25 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €5.01, optimistic scenario €6.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €22.5M (latest available figure, as of Oct 5, 2026).
Does Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 5, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft it is €5.61 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026), against a price of €5.25. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 5, 2026, HYI trades below its calculated fair value: price €5.25, fair value €5.61, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HYI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€5.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€5.61). For Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft the two are €0.3600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft at about €25.5M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 5, 2026). Per share that is €5.25; our models calculate a fair value of €5.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HYI?
Our models span a range for Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €5.01, base €5.61, optimistic €6.14 per share (as of Oct 5, 2026, price €5.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HYI?
Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.4 (as of Oct 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €5.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 5.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (as of Oct 5, 2026): return on equity 6.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HYI from its 52-week high?
Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft trades at €5.25, at its 52-week high of €5.25 and 18% above the low of €4.47 (as of Oct 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €5.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Dell Technologies Inc, Arista Networks, Inc, Sandisk Corporation, Seagate Technology Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 5, 2026: price €5.25, calculated fair value €5.61 (+7%), Quality Score 67/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HYI calculated?
We run Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €5.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
The closing price on Oct 9, 2026 was €5.25. Our model-based fair value is €5.61, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft
How large is the market capitalisation of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
The market capitalisation of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is €25.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is 1.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
Earnings per share at Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft are €0.3400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
The dividend yield of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is 0.8% (payout 11.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
The net margin of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is 7.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
The operating margin of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
Revenue at Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is growing +1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI)?
Earnings per share at Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft are growing −6.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft (HYI) generate?
The free cash flow of Hyrican Informationssysteme Aktiengesellschaft is −€529K (fiscal year 2020). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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