Intchains Group (ICG) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $45.5M
Intchains Group
ICG · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $1.22 to $1.40 (+15.1%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.9288). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.9288 to $1.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range $0.6300 – $13.70 · fair‑value band $0.9288 – $1.76 · the $0.8795 price screens below the $1.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Intchains Group (ICG) currently trades at $0.8795, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Intchains Group generated revenue of $221M at a net margin of -21.5%. Revenue declined 51.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $225M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.9288 (bear case) to $1.76 (bull case); at $0.8795, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -54% fair-value upside, at 60%, ICG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 11
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Intchains Group Limited engages in the provision of altcoin mining products in the People's Republic of China. The company focuses on designing and sales of application-specific integrated circuit chips for blockchain applications.
Full company description
Intchains Group Limited engages in the provision of altcoin mining products in the People's Republic of China. The company focuses on designing and sales of application-specific integrated circuit chips for blockchain applications. It also provides Xihe Platform, which integrates self-developed blockchain proof-of-work algorithms and related cryptographic algorithms, as well as systematic data analysis process. In addition, the company offers ancillary software, hardware, and other products. It serves distributors. Intchains Group Limited was founded in 2017 and is based in Pudong, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Intchains Group reported revenue of $215M in FY2025 versus $632M in FY2021, a compound −23.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$50.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Semiconductors · 323 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $217.50 | $98.98 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €366.85 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc ZMIC | C$43.68 | C$6.23 | -86% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €428.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$54.79 | C$11.71 | -79% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 4,015 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -61% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,024,000 KRW | 1,204,862 KRW | +18% |
| GigaDevice Semiconductor Inc 3986 | HK$515.00 | HK$274.86 | -47% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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