IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCFIRSTB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹696B
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹24.30 to ₹28.00 (+15.2%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹35.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹29.05 – ₹98.88 · fair‑value band ₹21.00 – ₹35.00 · the ₹85.84 price screens above the ₹28.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCFIRSTB) currently trades at ₹85.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹28.00, implying the stock looks roughly 67.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, IDFC First Bank Limited generated revenue of ₹30.3B at a net margin of 32.8%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at ₹239B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹21.00 (bear case) to ₹35.00 (bull case); at ₹85.84, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at -67%, IDFCFIRSTB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (₹40.04) versus Dividend Discount (₹5.91). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
IDFC First Bank Limited provides various banking and financial services in India. It operates through the Treasury, Corporate and Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, and Other Banking Business segments.
Full company description
IDFC First Bank Limited provides various banking and financial services in India. It operates through the Treasury, Corporate and Wholesale Banking, Retail Banking, and Other Banking Business segments. The company offers treasury and forex solutions, including correspondent banking, FX, cross-border swift, government bonds and strips, liberalized remittance scheme, and external commercial borrowing solutions, as well as treasury solutions comprising forwards, options, and swaps. It also provides retail lending solutions, such as home loans, vehicle loans, consumer loans, education loans, personal loans, used car loans, gold loans, rural finance, and tractor finance; SME lending solutions that consist of loan against property, business banking, working capital loans, commercial vehicle loans, micro enterprise loans, trade advance, and startup banking; CASA and fixed deposits, which include current accounts, savings accounts, fixed deposits, nostro/vostro accounts, overdrafts, corporate salary accounts, accounts for ONDC, and escrow account; and NRI Banking that comprises NRE accounts, NRO accounts, seafarer accounts, FCNR deposits, and NRE/NRO deposits. In addition, the company offers wealth management and distribution solutions, including distribution of life insurance, general insurance, credit shield, health insurance, mutual funds, and AIFs; credit cards; and FASTag, such as tag issuer, toll acquirer, toll, parking, and fuel solutions. Further, it provides trade finance solutions that consist of letters of credit and discounting, bank guarantee, buyer's credit/SBLC, parking credit in foreign currency and INR, remittances, and pre and post shipment finance; supply chain financing; and transaction banking and CMS solutions. The company was formerly known as IDFC Bank Limited and changed its name to IDFC First Bank Limited in January 2019. IDFC First Bank Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
IDFC First Bank Limited reported revenue of ₹484B in FY2026 versus ₹208B in FY2022, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹16.1B in FY2026, compounding +86.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +26.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −14.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
IDFCFIRSTB screens 67% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1090 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,350 IDR | 4,637 IDR | -27% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 168,100 KRW | 220,258 KRW | +31% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 3,110 IDR | 3,792 IDR | +22% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,150 IDR | 6,067 IDR | +46% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 8,400 ARS | +64% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 103,800 KRW | 146,032 KRW | +41% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 127,900 KRW | 210,506 KRW | +65% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,500 VND | 45,959 VND | -23% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 33,000 KRW | 60,758 KRW | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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