Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT IDR 273, price IDR 258, upside +5.9%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 117.35 IDR – 648.93 IDR · fair‑value band 221.68 IDR – 341.65 IDR · the 258.00 IDR price screens below the 273.32 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk engages in piling, retaining wall, and ground improvement business in Indonesia. The company provides foundation construction services for various building and infrastructure projects, including housings, house of worships, hospitals, skyscrapers, roads, bridges, and underpasses.
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PT Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk engages in piling, retaining wall, and ground improvement business in Indonesia. The company provides foundation construction services for various building and infrastructure projects, including housings, house of worships, hospitals, skyscrapers, roads, bridges, and underpasses. It also offers pile testing services comprising comprehensive, tension, integrity, and lateral tests; other foundation construction services, such as soil nailing and shotcrete, slurry wall, ground anchor, kingpost, bar coupler, dewatering, and excavation services; and operates concrete batching plant. In addition, the company provides precast walls; and machineries and equipment for piling, retaining walls, ground improvement, pile testing, and other foundation construction activities. The company was founded in 1977 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR) currently trades at 258.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 273.32 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 5.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 571.09 IDR per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the 258.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 98.92 IDR, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 221.68 IDR (bear) to 341.65 IDR (bull), the price of 258.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT reported revenue of 1.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 873B IDR in FY2021, a compound +8.8%/yr. Reported net income was 26.1B IDR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 517B IDR (≈ $28.9M) · P/E ratio 16.0 · P/S ratio 0.34 · EPS (TTM) 16.08 IDR · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% · Operating margin 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 6%, IDPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 221.68 IDRFair Value 273.32 IDRBull 341.65 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (11.81 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.84/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.6% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−11.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−52% → 6%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 34.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.7% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth77% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IDPR
Frequently asked questions
Is Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 273.32 IDR versus a price of 258.00 IDR, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IDPR?
Our model-based fair value for Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is 273.32 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 258.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of IDPR?
Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 273.32 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 221.68 IDR, optimistic scenario 341.65 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 273.32 IDR, about +6% upside versus a price of 258.00 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 221.68 IDR, optimistic scenario 341.65 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT would have to grow free cash flow by +12.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IDPR use?
Our models discount Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.48, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT that is +12.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT grew +13.4 % a year. The price currently implies +12.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (+12.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.24 %: that much free cash flow Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT it is 273.32 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 258.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IDPR trades below its calculated fair value: price 258.00 IDR, fair value 273.32 IDR, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IDPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (258.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (273.32 IDR). For Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT the two are 15.32 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT worth?
The market values Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT at about 517B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 258.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 273.32 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IDPR?
Our models span a range for Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT: cautious scenario 221.68 IDR, base 273.32 IDR, optimistic 341.65 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 258.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of IDPR?
Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 273.32 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 3.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is IDPR from its 52-week high?
Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT trades at 258.00 IDR, about 60% below its 52-week high of 648.93 IDR and at the low of 258.00 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 273.32 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 258.00 IDR, calculated fair value 273.32 IDR (+6%), Quality Score 54/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IDPR calculated?
We run Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 273.32 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 258.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 273.32 IDR, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR) come from?
Earnings per share at Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT grew −24.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −7.2 %, EBIT margin −10.1 %, tax rate −0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT
How large is the market capitalisation of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
The market capitalisation of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is 517B IDR (≈ $28.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is 0.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
Earnings per share at Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT are 16.08 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
The net margin of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is 2.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
The operating margin of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
Revenue at Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is growing +76.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR)?
Earnings per share at Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT are growing +188% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT (IDPR) carry?
The net debt of Indonesia Pondasi Raya Tbk PT is 429B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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