Medios AG (ILM1) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Medios AG stock €20.08, price €11.16, upside +79.9%, quality 58 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €10.00 – €40.50 · fair‑value band €14.06 – €26.10 · the €11.16 price screens below the €20.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.
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Medios AG, together with its subsidiaries, supplies specialty pharmaceutical drugs primarily in Germany. It operates through three segments: Patient-Specific Therapies; International Business; and Pharmaceutical Supply.
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The Patient-Specific Therapies segment manufactures medications for patients on behalf of pharmacies. This segment also includes cytostatic preparations, antibody therapies, and parenteral nutrition solutions.
The International Business International covers all activities in the international environment from the procurement of Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients, the sterile and non-sterile drugs and the supply of public and hospital pharmacies through homecare service.
The Pharmaceutical Supply segment offers products on oncology, neurology, autoimmunology, ophthalmology, infectiology, and hemophilia diseases. Medios AG is founded in 2015 and was headquartered in Berlin, Germany.
Stock analysis
Medios AG (ILM1) currently trades at €11.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €20.08, implying the stock looks roughly 44% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €34.33 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the €11.16 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at €9.30, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €14.06 (bear) to €26.10 (bull), the price of €11.16 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Medios AG reported revenue of €2.1B in FY2025 versus €1.4B in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €15.4M in FY2025, compounding +20.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €273M Small · P/E ratio 24.3 · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) €0.4600 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 2.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 26 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 37% fair-value upside, at 80%, ILM1 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€14.06Fair Value €20.08Bull€26.10
Price €11.16 · Upside +79.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.3995 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+66.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+10.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 2%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.2% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Medical Distribution · 81 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+79.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.1% · Below median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)8.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.33× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Medios AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ILM1
Frequently asked questions
Is Medios AG (ILM1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €20.08 versus a price of €11.16, about +80% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ILM1?
Our model-based fair value for Medios AG is €20.08 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.16.
What is the quality score of ILM1?
Medios AG has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Medios AG (ILM1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €20.08 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €14.06, optimistic scenario €26.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Medios AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €20.08, about +80% upside versus a price of €11.16 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €14.06, optimistic scenario €26.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Medios AG (ILM1)?
Medios AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €2.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
What growth is priced into Medios AG (ILM1)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Medios AG would have to grow free cash flow by +2.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.1 % per year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ILM1 use?
Our models discount Medios AG at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.34, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Medios AG that is +2.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Medios AG (ILM1) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Medios AG grew +27.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +2.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Medios AG (ILM1) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Medios AG (+2.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Medios AG (ILM1)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.51 %: that much free cash flow Medios AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Medios AG (ILM1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Medios AG it is €20.08 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of €11.16. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Medios AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, ILM1 trades below its calculated fair value: price €11.16, fair value €20.08, a gap of about +80% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ILM1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€20.08). For Medios AG the two are €8.92 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Medios AG worth?
The market values Medios AG at about €273M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is €11.16; our models calculate a fair value of €20.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ILM1?
Our models span a range for Medios AG: cautious scenario €14.06, base €20.08, optimistic €26.10 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price €11.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ILM1?
Medios AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.3 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €20.08 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2017 to 2025), reported earnings: 40.3. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 5.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Medios AG (ILM1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Medios AG (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 2.1%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ILM1 from its 52-week high?
Medios AG trades at €11.16, about 36% below its 52-week high of €17.32 and 12% above the low of €10.00 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €20.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Medios AG?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value McKesson Corporation, Cencora, Inc, Cardinal Health, Inc, Henry Schein, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Medios AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price €11.16, calculated fair value €20.08 (+80%), Quality Score 58/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ILM1 calculated?
We run Medios AG through 24 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €20.08 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. Medios AG currently trades 44% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Medios AG (ILM1)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was €11.16. Our model-based fair value is €20.08, about +80% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Medios AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€14.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€14.06 to €26.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Medios AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Medios AG (ILM1)?
The market capitalisation of Medios AG is €273M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Medios AG (ILM1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Medios AG is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Medios AG (ILM1)?
Earnings per share at Medios AG are €0.4600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Medios AG (ILM1)?
The net margin of Medios AG is 0.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Medios AG (ILM1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Medios AG is 2.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Medios AG (ILM1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Medios AG is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Medios AG (ILM1)?
The operating margin of Medios AG is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Medios AG (ILM1)?
Revenue at Medios AG is growing +8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Medios AG (ILM1)?
Earnings per share at Medios AG are growing −41.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Medios AG (ILM1) carry?
The net debt of Medios AG is €107M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 12, 2026