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Immobel SA (IMMO) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · BE · Market cap €220M

IS Immobel SA IMMO · BR
Price€21.20
Fair Value€53.50
Upside+152.4%
Quality65/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 14.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range €38.30 – €69.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from €54.00 to €53.50 (−0.9%) since Jul 26, 2026. Share price −3.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 152% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€38.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€38.30 to €69.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€71.04 €15.78 Fair Value €53.50 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €15.78 – €71.04 · fair‑value band €38.30 – €69.76 · the €21.20 price screens below the €53.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Immobel SA (IMMO) currently trades at €21.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €53.50, implying the stock looks roughly 152.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Immobel SA generated revenue of €334M at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue declined 30.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.5%. Net debt stands at €651M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €38.30 (bear case) to €69.76 (bull case); at €21.20, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 152%, IMMO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €86.47 €135.09 €197.16 80
Residual Income €34.30 €37.28 €45.44 76
Rev-Margin DCF €37.30 €58.30 €84.78 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €87.60 €142.19 €216.33 38
5Y Revenue Exit €37.30 €56.57 €79.15 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €43.27 €68.39 €96.75 41
10Y Revenue Exit €57.27 €80.14 €108.83 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €61.15 €87.37 €120.92 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €3.78 €6.33 €8.21 70
DDM Multi-Stage €3.78 €6.00 €6.80 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple €60.40 €80.53 €100.66 58
P/B Multiple €60.40 €80.53 €100.66 55
EV/EBIT €20.45 €34.12 €47.79 53
EV/EBITDA €15.18 €27.09 €39.00 54
EV/Revenue €2.06 €11.75 €21.45 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €21.19 €28.40 €42.38 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €86.47 €135.09 €197.16 80
Rev-Margin DCF €37.30 €58.30 €84.78 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €34.30 €37.28 €45.44 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€80.14) versus Dividend Discount (€6.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €334M
Revenue growth (YoY) -30.2%
Net margin 14.5%
Return on equity 11.5%
Free cash flow €125M FY2025
P/E ratio 4.5
More key figures
Operating margin 16.3%
EPS (TTM) €4.67
EPS growth (YoY) -97.5%
Net debt €651M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 67
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Immobel SA engages in the real estate development business in Belgium, France, Luxembourg, Germany, Poland, Spain, and the United Kingdom. Its portfolio consists of office, residential, mixed, and real estate projects. The company was formerly known as Allfin NV and changed its name to Immobel SA in June 2016.

Full company description

Immobel SA engages in the real estate development business in Belgium, France, Luxembourg, Germany, Poland, Spain, and the United Kingdom. Its portfolio consists of office, residential, mixed, and real estate projects. The company was formerly known as Allfin NV and changed its name to Immobel SA in June 2016. The company was incorporated in 1863 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium. Immobel SA is a subsidiary of A³ Capital NV.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Immobel SA reported revenue of €329M in FY2025 versus €389M in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was €48.4M in FY2025, compounding −14.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€329M
Latest YoY
−12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Revenue −4.1%/yr
FY21 €389M
FY22 €236M
FY23 €156M
FY24 €378M
FY25 €329M
Net income −14.8%/yr
FY21 €92.2M
FY22 €10.7M
FY23 −€38.4M
FY24 −€93.7M
FY25 €48.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Immobel SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IMMO

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +152% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Above median
Revenue growth -30% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 4.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.59× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.76× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 48
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 46 · sector 10
HEALTH 61 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Immobel SA (IMMO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €53.50 versus a price of €21.20, about +152% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of IMMO?
Our model-based fair value for Immobel SA is €53.50 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €21.20.
What is the quality score of IMMO?
Immobel SA has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Immobel SA (IMMO)?
Immobel SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €334M (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IMMO?
The net profit margin of Immobel SA is about 14.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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