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Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 2, 2026: fair value of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. $4.97, price $5.45, upside -8.8%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A.
IMQCF · USNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $4.97 · Fairly valued (−8.8%)
!Quality 58/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.2 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 80.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 51/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.77 – $10.69 · fair‑value band $3.73 – $6.21 · the $5.45 price screens above the $4.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is the leading platform in Europe's prime commercial real estate market, with a presence in the in the main business districts of Barcelona, Madrid, and Paris. It boasts a unique portfolio of totaling more than 1 million euros, with a market value exceeding 12 billion euros.
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Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is the leading platform in Europe's prime commercial real estate market, with a presence in the in the main business districts of Barcelona, Madrid, and Paris. It boasts a unique portfolio of totaling more than 1 million euros, with a market value exceeding 12 billion euros. The Group follows a dedicated, long-term strategy focused on value creation through a high-quality client portfolio and asset appreciation. Looking ahead, Colonial SFL will continue to lead the urban transformation of city centers in the cities in the European market, recognized for its experience and professionalism, financial strength and profitability, to time that provides excellent sustainable real estate solutions adapted to the needs of its clients.
Stock analysis
Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF) currently trades at $5.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.97, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.7%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $9.58 per share, and 3 of the 10 models we run sit above the $5.45 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $2.79, and 7 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.73 (bear) to $6.21 (bull), the price of $5.45 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. reported revenue of €408M in FY2025 versus €317M in FY2021, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was €344M in FY2025, compounding −7.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.4B · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 6.96 · EPS (TTM) $0.6600 · Net margin 84.3% · Return on equity 5.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.3% · Operating margin 79.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −9%, IMQCF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.73
Fair Value $4.97
Bull $6.21
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4991 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
n/a
$3.02
$8.02
77
Residual Income
$9.56
$9.58
$10.11
76
Growth DCF
n/a
$2.79
$7.02
75
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
n/a
$3.02
$8.02
77
5Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$1.81
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$2.97
$7.33
72
10Y Revenue Exit
n/a
n/a
$2.53
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
$2.45
$6.57
65
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$3.66
$4.89
$6.11
58
P/B Multiple
$8.08
$10.78
$13.47
55
EV/EBIT
$1.87
$5.09
$8.31
61
EV/EBITDA
n/a
$2.36
$4.89
62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$6.31
$8.45
$12.61
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
n/a
$2.79
$7.02
75
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$9.56
$9.58
$10.11
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
58/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Profitability
34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
53
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.0%
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’17
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’20
’21
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’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ −0.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.77% → 78%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 117% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.4% a year for the price and +2.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+6.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+6.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+5.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.1%
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Office stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BXP, Inc BXP | $63.40 | $38.36 | −39% |
| Vornado Realty Trust VNORP | $50.11 | $49.54 | −1% |
| Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc ARE | $49.93 | $98.03 | +96% |
| MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A MRL | €12.26 | €9.69 | −21% |
| Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc HPP | $11.65 | $2.97 | −75% |
| Gecina GFC | €63.75 | €75.43 | +18% |
| Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust N2IU | 1.22 SGD | 1.26 SGD | +3% |
| Cousins Properties Incorporated CUZ | $28.65 | $8.26 | −71% |
| Keppel DC REIT AJBU | 2.12 SGD | 2.70 SGD | +27% |
| DEXUS DXS | A$5.43 | A$4.09 | −25% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.97 versus the last price from Jul 2, 2026 of $5.45, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of IMQCF?
Our model-based fair value for Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is $4.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 2, 2026): $5.45.
What is the quality score of IMQCF?
Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.97 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.73, optimistic scenario $6.21. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.97, about −9% upside versus the last price from Jul 2, 2026 of $5.45 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.73, optimistic scenario $6.21. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €432M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. would have to grow free cash flow by +17.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of IMQCF use?
Our models discount Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.24, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. that is +17.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies +17.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (+17.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.42 %: that much free cash flow Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. it is $4.97 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $5.45. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, IMQCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.45, fair value $4.97, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of IMQCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.97). For Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. the two are $0.4800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. worth?
The market values Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. at about $3.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $5.45; our models calculate a fair value of $4.97 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about IMQCF?
Our models span a range for Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A.: cautious scenario $3.73, base $4.97, optimistic $6.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $5.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is IMQCF from its 52-week high?
Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. trades at $5.45, about 9% below its 52-week high of $5.98 and at the low of $5.45 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.97 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value BXP, Inc, Vornado Realty Trust, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc, MERLIN Properties SOCIMI, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $5.45, calculated fair value $4.97 (−9%), Quality Score 58/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of IMQCF calculated?
We run Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.97, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 2, 2026 and stands at $5.45. Our model-based fair value is $4.97, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A.
How large is the market capitalisation of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
The market capitalisation of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is $3.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is 8.3. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is 6.96 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
Earnings per share at Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. are $0.6600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
The net margin of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is 84.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is 2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
The operating margin of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is 79.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
Revenue at Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is growing +7.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF)?
Earnings per share at Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. are growing +3.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. (IMQCF) carry?
The net debt of Colonial SFL, Socimi S. A. is €5.0B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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