Terrestrial Energy Inc (IMSR) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $1.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $6.43 to $1.38 (−78.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.9100 to $1.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (22 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
22‑month range $4.63 – $27.10 · fair‑value band $0.9100 – $1.72 · the $5.82 price screens above the $1.38 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Terrestrial Energy Inc (IMSR) currently trades at $5.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.38, implying the stock looks roughly 76.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
It earns a return on equity of -23.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $95.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.9100 (bear case) to $1.72 (bull case); at $5.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -76%, IMSR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 5
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Terrestrial Energy Inc. produces carbon free nuclear energy in North Carolina. It offers Pre-construction services, such as site selection and site and use-specific engineering studies for construction and licensing planning preparation; construction services and component supply; and post construction IMSR Core-unit supply and fuel supply.
Full company description
Terrestrial Energy Inc. produces carbon free nuclear energy in North Carolina. It offers Pre-construction services, such as site selection and site and use-specific engineering studies for construction and licensing planning preparation; construction services and component supply; and post construction IMSR Core-unit supply and fuel supply. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Terrestrial Energy Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $18.6K in FY2023. Reported net income was −$28.0M in FY2025.
IMSR screens 76% overvalued. Compare with NextEra Energy, Inc →
Peer Group
Utilities - Regulated Electric · 154 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Electric median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NextEra Energy, Inc NEE | $88.80 | $32.94 | -63% |
| The Southern Company SO | $95.61 | $61.06 | -36% |
| Duke Energy Corporation DUK | $126.11 | $97.11 | -23% |
| National Grid plc NGG | 61,175 ARS | 44,377 ARS | -27% |
| American Electric Power Company AEP | $132.50 | $79.33 | -40% |
| Dominion Energy, Inc D | $70.08 | $46.92 | -33% |
| NTPC Limited NTPC | ₹341.85 | ₹377.16 | +10% |
| CEZ, a. s. CEZ | 232.40 PLN | 159.33 PLN | -31% |
| Power Grid Corporation POWERGRID | ₹283.55 | ₹252.77 | -11% |
| China National Nuclear Power Co 601985 | ¥8.91 | ¥7.69 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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