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IsoEnergy Ltd (ISOU) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $726M

IL IsoEnergy Ltd logo IsoEnergy Ltd ISOU · US
Price$10.42
Fair Value$1.78
Upside-82.9%
Quality41/100
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Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/9)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.17 – $2.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $8.37 to $1.78 (−78.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.17 to $2.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.76 $4.93 Fair Value $1.78 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.93 – $20.76 · fair‑value band $1.17 – $2.22 · the $10.42 price screens above the $1.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

IsoEnergy Ltd (ISOU) currently trades at $10.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.78, implying the stock looks roughly 82.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

It earns a return on equity of -1.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $56.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.17 (bear case) to $2.22 (bull case); at $10.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -63% fair-value upside, at -83%, ISOU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $3.31 $4.43 $6.62 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.31 $4.43 $6.62 50

Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -1.9%
Free cash flow −$13.9M FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-0.1200
Net cash $56.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 2
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

IsoEnergy Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. The company explores for uranium, copper, rare earth, and gold deposits. It holds a portfolio of properties in Canada, the United States, and Australia. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

IsoEnergy Ltd reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$1.1M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY21 −$15.8M
FY22 −$7.4M
FY23 −$18.7M
FY24 −$42.1M
FY25 −$1.1M

ISOU screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Cameco Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IsoEnergy Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ISOU

Peer Group

Uranium · 26 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Uranium median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.81× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 95 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Uranium stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cameco Corporation CCJ $95.99 $9.62 -90%
China National Uranium Co 001280 ¥56.66 ¥11.54 -80%
NexGen Energy Ltd NXE $9.25 $1.04 -89%
Sprott Physical Uranium Trust Fund UU $18.61 $29.76 +60%
Centrus Energy Corp LEU $156.05 $58.25 -63%
CGN Mining Company 1164 HK$2.42 HK$1.01 -58%
Deep Yellow Limited DYL A$1.23 A$0.3000 -76%
Bannerman Energy Ltd BMN A$3.51 A$3.63 +3%
Uranium Royalty Corp UROY $2.76 $1.62 -41%
Boss Energy Limited BOE A$1.30 A$0.3600 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is IsoEnergy Ltd (ISOU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.78 versus a price of $10.42, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ISOU?
Our model-based fair value for IsoEnergy Ltd is $1.78 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.42.
What is the quality score of ISOU?
IsoEnergy Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of ISOU?
The net profit margin of IsoEnergy Ltd is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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