ITAB Group (ITAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 4.0B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −4.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 11.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 7.09 – kr 30.20 · fair‑value band kr 6.87 – kr 11.45 · the kr 14.96 price screens above the kr 9.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
ITAB Group (ITAB) currently trades at kr 14.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 9.16, implying the stock looks roughly 38.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ITAB Group generated revenue of 12.9B SEK at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 3.8B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 6.87 (bear case) to kr 11.45 (bull case); at kr 14.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -57% fair-value upside, at -39%, ITAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 34.27) versus Earnings-Based (kr 5.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ITAB Group AB (publ) develops, manufactures, sells, and installs store concepts for retail chain stores. The company provides solution design, customized shop fittings, checkouts, consumer flow solutions, professional lighting systems, light planning, audio systems and energy reduction service and digitally interactive solutions for the physical stores.
Full company description
ITAB Group AB (publ) develops, manufactures, sells, and installs store concepts for retail chain stores. The company provides solution design, customized shop fittings, checkouts, consumer flow solutions, professional lighting systems, light planning, audio systems and energy reduction service and digitally interactive solutions for the physical stores. It offers checkouts and self-service systems; click and collect, an automated and convenient online delivery option; consumer and colleague safety systems; consumer interaction systems; security gates for entrance and exit; queue management systems; standard fittings and accessories; and retail lighting products. The company also provides solution design; services to consolidate goods not for resale; installation and assembly services for retail concepts; and after-care and maintenance services. It serves grocery, home improvements, fashion, consumer electronics, cafes and service stations, pharmacy, and health and beauty sectors. The company operates in Italy, the United Kingdom, Germany, Norway, Finland, Sweden, the Netherlands, France, Czechia, Denmark, Poland, Argentina, Spain, Slovakia, the United States, and internationally. The company was formerly known as ITAB Shop Concept AB (publ) and changed its name to ITAB Group AB (publ) in May 2026. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Jönköping, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ITAB Group reported revenue of kr 12.8B in FY2025 versus kr 6.2B in FY2021, a compound +19.6%/yr. Reported net income was kr 131M in FY2025, compounding +8.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
ITAB screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Ricoh Company →
Peer Group
Business Equipment & Supplies · 72 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Business Equipment & Supplies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Business Equipment & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ricoh Company RICO | ¥15.33 | ¥17.99 | +17% |
| GRG Banking Equipment Co 002152 | ¥10.08 | ¥6.90 | -32% |
| Shanghai M&G Stationery Inc 603899 | ¥22.83 | ¥30.05 | +32% |
| XGD Inc 300130 | ¥19.90 | ¥15.67 | -21% |
| DOMS Industries Limited DOMS | ₹2,260 | ₹782.96 | -65% |
| Hengbao Co 002104 | ¥9.20 | ¥1.66 | -82% |
| Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co 000561 | ¥6.99 | ¥1.75 | -75% |
| Shenzhen Comix Group 002301 | ¥7.30 | ¥3.11 | -57% |
| Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co 002376 | ¥6.00 | ¥1.73 | -71% |
| Cashway Fintech Co 603106 | ¥9.04 | ¥1.20 | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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