IT Tech Packaging, Inc (ITP) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $3.2M
IT Tech Packaging, Inc
ITP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.1902 to $0.2824 (+48.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −2.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2079). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1600 – $5.59 · fair‑value band $0.2079 – $0.3586 · the $0.1765 price screens below the $0.2824 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
Analysis
IT Tech Packaging, Inc (ITP) currently trades at $0.1765, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2824, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, IT Tech Packaging, Inc generated revenue of $78.9M at a net margin of -13.9%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.9%. Net debt stands at $3.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2079 (bear case) to $0.3586 (bull case); at $0.1765, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 60%, ITP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($6.16) versus DCF Models ($3.49). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
IT Tech Packaging, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes paper products in the People's Republic of China. It operates in three segments: Dongfang Paper, Tengsheng Paper, and Baoding Shengde. The company offers corrugating medium papers to companies making corrugating cardboard; and offset printing papers to printing companies.
Full company description
IT Tech Packaging, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes paper products in the People's Republic of China. It operates in three segments: Dongfang Paper, Tengsheng Paper, and Baoding Shengde. The company offers corrugating medium papers to companies making corrugating cardboard; and offset printing papers to printing companies. It also provides tissue paper products, including toilet paper, boxed and soft-packed tissues, handkerchief tissues, and paper napkins, as well as bathroom and kitchen paper towels under the Dongfang Paper brand. In addition, the company produces and sells digital photo paper, non-medical single-use face masks, and medical face masks. The company was formerly known as Orient Paper, Inc. and changed its name to IT Tech Packaging, Inc. in August 2018. IT Tech Packaging, Inc. is headquartered in Baoding, the People's' Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
IT Tech Packaging, Inc reported revenue of $75.8M in FY2024 versus $101M in FY2020, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.8M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.58 | R$3.89 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.45 | €15.47 | -34% |
| Suzano S.A SUZB3 | R$41.70 | R$138.01 | +231% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 103.00 | kr 49.40 | -52% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.13 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 305.40 | kr 217.72 | -29% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$7.55 | HK$8.73 | +16% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,078 CLP | 1,269 CLP | +18% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥22.05 | ¥24.32 | +10% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 68.70 | kr 48.60 | -29% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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