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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. BRL 40.67, price BRL 47.55, upside -14.5%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · BR · Home US

JF Some data Sep 23, 2026

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

J1EF34 · SA

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value R$40.67 · Overvalued (−14.5%)
!Quality 39/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +14.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 23.0% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 26 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 11 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$293.13 R$26.11 Fair Value R$40.67 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$26.11 – R$293.13 · fair‑value band R$32.67 – R$50.83 · the R$47.55 price screens above the R$40.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. operates as an investment banking and capital markets firm in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Investment Banking and Capital Markets, and Asset Management.

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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. operates as an investment banking and capital markets firm in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific. It operates in two segments, Investment Banking and Capital Markets, and Asset Management. The company provides investment banking and advisory services for mergers or acquisitions, debt financing, restructurings, and private capital advisory transactions; underwriting and placement services related to corporate debt, municipal debt, mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities, equity and equity-linked securities, and loan syndication services; and corporate lending services. It also offers financing, securities lending, and other prime brokerage services; equities research, sales, and trading services; wealth management services; and online foreign exchange trading services. In addition, the company provides investment-grade distressed debt securities, U.S. and European government and agency securities, municipal bonds, leveraged loans, emerging markets debt, interest rates, and credit index derivative products; and manages and offers services to a diverse group of alternative asset management platforms across a spectrum of investment strategies and asset classes. It serves public companies, private companies, sponsors and owners, institutional investors, and government entities. The company was formerly known as Leucadia National Corporation and changed its name to Jefferies Financial Group Inc. in May 2018. Jefferies Financial Group Inc. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock analysis

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34) currently trades at R$47.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$40.67, 14.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$279.64 per share, and 3 of the 9 models we run sit above the R$47.55 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$27.15, and 6 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$32.67 (bear) to R$50.83 (bull), the price of R$47.55 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. reported revenue of $10.8B in FY2025 versus $7.2B in FY2022, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was $710M in FY2025, compounding −3.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap R$62.0B (≈ $11.9B) · P/E ratio 14.5 · P/S ratio 0.95 · EPS (TTM) R$18.54 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 84% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at −14%, J1EF34 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$32.67 Fair Value R$40.67 Bull R$50.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$15.59 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income R$38.53 R$40.46 R$44.26 73
Owner Earnings R$129.40 R$279.64 R$535.42 69
DDM Multi-Stage R$15.49 R$27.15 R$33.79 64
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings R$129.40 R$279.64 R$535.42 69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$21.78 R$95.39 R$130.52 61
Lynch FV R$24.62 R$35.17 R$45.71 58
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM R$15.49 R$32.20 R$51.08 63
DDM Multi-Stage R$15.49 R$27.15 R$33.79 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$31.23 R$41.63 R$52.04 63
P/B Multiple R$40.83 R$54.45 R$68.06 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$23.83 R$31.94 R$47.67 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$38.53 R$40.46 R$44.26 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 12
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 88
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 8%

J1EF34 screens overvalued: fair value 14% below the price. Compare with Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Capital Markets · 462 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +5.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 6.6% · Below median
Return on assets 1.0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23.0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.78× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.44× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)38 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 88
PAST (return on equity)26 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)11 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 44

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS $188.08 $314.07 +67%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS $900.36 $766.86 −15%
The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW $97.74 $118.07 +21%
Interactive Brokers Group IBKR $89.24 $23.12 −74%
Robinhood Markets, Inc HOOD $116.22 $47.77 −59%
Macquarie Group MQG A$245.63 A$80.51 −67%
CITIC Securities Company 600030 ¥26.29 ¥18.35 −30%
Guotai Haitong Securities Co 601211 ¥17.21 ¥19.35 +12%
East Money Information Co 300059 ¥18.28 ¥4.94 −73%
Nomura Holdings NMR $9.91 $10.19 +3%

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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. · Fair Value
R$40.67 −14%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/J1EF34

Frequently asked questions

Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$40.67 versus a price of R$47.55, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of J1EF34?
Our model-based fair value for Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is R$40.67 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$47.55.
What is the quality score of J1EF34?
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$40.67 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$32.67, optimistic scenario R$50.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jefferies Financial Group Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$40.67, about −14% upside versus a price of R$47.55 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$32.67, optimistic scenario R$50.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Jefferies Financial Group Inc. pay a dividend?
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jefferies Financial Group Inc. it is R$40.67 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of R$47.55. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, J1EF34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$47.55, fair value R$40.67, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of J1EF34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$47.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$40.67). For Jefferies Financial Group Inc. the two are R$6.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. worth?
The market values Jefferies Financial Group Inc. at about R$62.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is R$47.55; our models calculate a fair value of R$40.67 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about J1EF34?
Our models span a range for Jefferies Financial Group Inc.: cautious scenario R$32.67, base R$40.67, optimistic R$50.83 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price R$47.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of J1EF34?
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$40.67 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4.
What is the PEG ratio of J1EF34?
The PEG ratio of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is 1.44 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 1.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is J1EF34 from its 52-week high?
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. trades at R$47.55, about 84% below its 52-week high of R$293.13 and 27% above the low of R$37.41 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$40.67 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jefferies Financial Group Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company,, The Goldman Sachs Group, The Charles Schwab Corporation, Interactive Brokers Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jefferies Financial Group Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price R$47.55, calculated fair value R$40.67 (−14%), Quality Score 39/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of J1EF34 calculated?
We run Jefferies Financial Group Inc. through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$40.67, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Jefferies Financial Group Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$47.55. Our model-based fair value is R$40.67, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jefferies Financial Group Inc. right now?
For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
The market capitalisation of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is R$62.0B (≈ $11.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is 0.95 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
Earnings per share at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. are R$18.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
The dividend yield of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is 0.6% (payout 1.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
The net margin of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is 1.3% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
The operating margin of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
Revenue at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is growing +35.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34)?
Earnings per share at Jefferies Financial Group Inc. are growing +160% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34) generate?
The free cash flow of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is −$1.7B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (J1EF34) carry?
The net debt of Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is $9.1B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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