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Jaguar Health, Inc (JAGX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.5M

JH Jaguar Health, Inc logo Jaguar Health, Inc JAGX · US
Price$0.8789
Fair Value$1.11
Upside+26.3%
Quality37/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -115.4% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.5275 – $1.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Share price −32.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 26% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($0.5275 to $1.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $0.5275 (bear) to $1.11 (bull), base $1.11. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 37/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1,000,000 $0.7600 Fair Value $1.11 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7600 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $0.5275 – $1.11 · the $0.8789 price screens below the $1.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Jaguar Health, Inc (JAGX) currently trades at $0.8789, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.11, implying the stock looks roughly 26.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $29.6M. Net debt stands at $42.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5275 (bear case) to $1.11 (bull case); at $0.8789, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 26%, JAGX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $10.18 $18.20 $30.73 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.24 $11.64 $22.77 74
Gordon GGM $0.0500 $0.0800 $0.1000 70
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.06 $16.66 $33.00 38
5Y Revenue Exit $5.48 $9.80 $18.71 39
10Y Revenue Exit $7.37 $15.40 $19.31 36
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0500 $0.0800 $0.1000 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.0800 61
Multiples
EV/Revenue $2.05 $4.16 $6.27 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.18 $18.20 $30.73 80
Rev-Margin DCF $6.24 $11.64 $22.77 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.40) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $29.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +816%
Net margin -115%
Return on equity -412%
Free cash flow $5.8M FY2025
Operating margin 50.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-695.50
Net debt $42.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jaguar Health, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceuticals company, focuses on developing plant-based prescription medicines for people and animals with gastrointestinal distress. It operates through two segments, Animal Health and Human Health.

Full company description

Jaguar Health, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceuticals company, focuses on developing plant-based prescription medicines for people and animals with gastrointestinal distress. It operates through two segments, Animal Health and Human Health. The company focuses on developing and commercializing prescription and non-prescription products for companion and production animals; and human products. Its lead prescription drug is Mytesi, an anti-secretory antidiarrheal drug for the symptomatic relief of non-infectious diarrhea in adults with HIV/AIDS on antiretroviral therapy; and Canalevia-CA1, a prescription drug product for chemotherapy-induced diarrhea in dogs. It is also developing Crofelemer, an anti-secretory antidiarrheal drug, which is in Phase III clinical trial for prophylaxis of diarrhea in adult cancer patients; Phase II clinical trials for rare/orphan disease indications, including short bowel syndrome with intestinal failure and microvillus inclusion disease; diarrhea-predominant irritable bowel syndrome; and for idiopathic/functional diarrhea. In addition, the company is developing Mytesi which is in Phase III clinical trial for cancer therapy-related diarrhea, as well as Phase II clinical trial for irritable bowel syndrome; and NP-300, a second-generation antidiarrheal drug that is in Phase I clinical trial for symptomatic relief and treatment of moderate-to-severe diarrhea. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jaguar Health, Inc reported revenue of $11.5M in FY2025 versus $4.3M in FY2021, a compound +27.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$53.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.5M
Latest YoY
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.4%
Revenue +27.7%/yr
FY21 $4.3M
FY22 $12.0M
FY23 $9.8M
FY24 $11.7M
FY25 $11.5M
Net income
FY21 −$52.6M
FY22 −$47.5M
FY23 −$41.3M
FY24 −$38.5M
FY25 −$53.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jaguar Health, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JAGX

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 599 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Below median
Fair Value upside +26% · Top 25%
Return on assets -36% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -115% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 50% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 816% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 68 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 29

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 314,000 KRW 39,476 KRW -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jaguar Health, Inc (JAGX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.11 versus a price of $0.8789, about +26% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JAGX?
Our model-based fair value for Jaguar Health, Inc is $1.11 (as of Aug 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.8789.
What is the quality score of JAGX?
Jaguar Health, Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jaguar Health, Inc (JAGX)?
Jaguar Health, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $29.6M (latest available figure, as of Aug 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JAGX?
The net profit margin of Jaguar Health, Inc is about -115.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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