Jaguar Health, Inc (JAGX) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $4.5M
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated today
Share price −32.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 26% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($0.5275 to $1.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $0.5275 (bear) to $1.11 (bull), base $1.11. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 37/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7600 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $0.5275 – $1.11 · the $0.8789 price screens below the $1.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Jaguar Health, Inc (JAGX) currently trades at $0.8789, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.11, implying the stock looks roughly 26.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $29.6M. Net debt stands at $42.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.5275 (bear case) to $1.11 (bull case); at $0.8789, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 26%, JAGX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.40) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jaguar Health, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceuticals company, focuses on developing plant-based prescription medicines for people and animals with gastrointestinal distress. It operates through two segments, Animal Health and Human Health.
Full company description
Jaguar Health, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceuticals company, focuses on developing plant-based prescription medicines for people and animals with gastrointestinal distress. It operates through two segments, Animal Health and Human Health. The company focuses on developing and commercializing prescription and non-prescription products for companion and production animals; and human products. Its lead prescription drug is Mytesi, an anti-secretory antidiarrheal drug for the symptomatic relief of non-infectious diarrhea in adults with HIV/AIDS on antiretroviral therapy; and Canalevia-CA1, a prescription drug product for chemotherapy-induced diarrhea in dogs. It is also developing Crofelemer, an anti-secretory antidiarrheal drug, which is in Phase III clinical trial for prophylaxis of diarrhea in adult cancer patients; Phase II clinical trials for rare/orphan disease indications, including short bowel syndrome with intestinal failure and microvillus inclusion disease; diarrhea-predominant irritable bowel syndrome; and for idiopathic/functional diarrhea. In addition, the company is developing Mytesi which is in Phase III clinical trial for cancer therapy-related diarrhea, as well as Phase II clinical trial for irritable bowel syndrome; and NP-300, a second-generation antidiarrheal drug that is in Phase I clinical trial for symptomatic relief and treatment of moderate-to-severe diarrhea. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jaguar Health, Inc reported revenue of $11.5M in FY2025 versus $4.3M in FY2021, a compound +27.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$53.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Biotechnology · 599 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $525.73 | $278.78 | -47% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $797.99 | $594.40 | -26% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,549,000 KRW | 1,055,793 KRW | -32% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 202,000 KRW | 74,519 KRW | -63% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$45.70 | HK$30.58 | -33% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$95.55 | HK$19.68 | -79% |
| Genmab A/S GMAB | kr 2,037 | kr 250.07 | -88% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$4.87 | HK$3.37 | -31% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥131.87 | ¥23.19 | -82% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 314,000 KRW | 39,476 KRW | -87% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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