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Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited THB 1.09, price THB 1.19, upside -8.4%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · TH

JE Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited

JAK · BK

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 1.09 THB · Fairly valued (−8%)
✓Quality 70/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +40.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·4.62% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (12/14)
!Moderate moat 54/100
!Insider activity 20/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

1.72 THB 0.6152 THB Fair Value 1.09 THB Feb 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.6152 THB – 1.72 THB · fair‑value band 0.6144 THB – 1.34 THB · the 1.19 THB price screens above the 1.09 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited engages in the real estate development business in Thailand. It operates in two segments, Major and Other. The company develops and sells twin and single houses, commercial buildings, townhouses, and condominiums, as well as leases investment properties.

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Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited engages in the real estate development business in Thailand. It operates in two segments, Major and Other. The company develops and sells twin and single houses, commercial buildings, townhouses, and condominiums, as well as leases investment properties. It is also involved in the sale of beverages and bakery products under franchise agreements. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Pathum Thani, Thailand.

Stock analysis

Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK) currently trades at 1.19 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.09 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 9.39 THB per share, and 13 of the 16 models we run sit above the 1.19 THB price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.3800 THB, and 3 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.6144 THB (bear) to 1.34 THB (bull), the price of 1.19 THB sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited reported revenue of 463M THB in FY2025 versus 170M THB in FY2021, a compound +28.5%/yr. Reported net income was 40.7M THB in FY2025, compounding +36.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 381M THB (≈ $11.4M) · P/E ratio 6.6 · P/S ratio 0.58 · EPS (TTM) 0.1800 THB · Dividend yield 4.6% · Net margin 8.8% · Return on equity 11.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −8%, JAK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.6144 THB Fair Value 1.09 THB Bull 1.34 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0918 THB per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1.31 THB 1.40 THB 1.54 THB 74
FCF DCF 8.63 THB 13.32 THB 27.91 THB 73
Growth DCF 8.10 THB 15.47 THB 27.33 THB 73
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 8.63 THB 13.32 THB 27.91 THB 73
5Y Revenue Exit 3.85 THB 5.73 THB 9.59 THB 69
5Y EBITDA Exit 4.34 THB 6.73 THB 11.37 THB 71
10Y Revenue Exit 5.27 THB 9.39 THB 11.32 THB 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 5.70 THB 10.43 THB 17.94 THB 64
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.2200 THB 0.4400 THB 0.6600 THB 64
DDM Multi-Stage 0.2200 THB 0.3800 THB 0.4600 THB 65
Multiples
P/S Multiple 1.62 THB 2.16 THB 2.70 THB 58
P/B Multiple 1.62 THB 2.16 THB 2.70 THB 55
EV/EBIT 3.19 THB 4.27 THB 5.35 THB 66
EV/EBITDA 2.54 THB 3.40 THB 4.26 THB 67
EV/Revenue 1.74 THB 2.50 THB 3.27 THB 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.8100 THB 1.08 THB 1.61 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 8.10 THB 15.47 THB 27.33 THB 73
Rev-Margin DCF 4.19 THB 6.57 THB 11.63 THB 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.31 THB 1.40 THB 1.54 THB 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 70/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 94
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+75.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+74.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in THB (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+20.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+16.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 14%
2025 sits 140% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−23.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −24.5% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 64% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.13× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)22 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)44 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)93 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)92 · sector 56

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$109.10 HK$147.78 +35%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.62 HK$74.05 +150%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 68,200 VND 112,796 VND +65%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.44 HK$71.69 +54%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.74 $1.52 −83%
DLF Limited DLF ₹675.00 ₹167.21 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.35 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,163 ₹275.95 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.64 ¥14.10 +150%
CTP N.V CTPNV €13.58 €10.30 −24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.09 THB versus a price of 1.19 THB, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JAK?
Our model-based fair value for Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 1.09 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.19 THB.
What is the quality score of JAK?
Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.09 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.6144 THB, optimistic scenario 1.34 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.09 THB, about −8% upside versus a price of 1.19 THB (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.6144 THB, optimistic scenario 1.34 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 509M THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited pay a dividend?
Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.62% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -23.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +40.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JAK use?
Our models discount Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.12, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited that is -23.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited grew +40.1 % a year. The price currently implies -23.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (-23.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 42.51 %: that much free cash flow Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited it is 1.09 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.19 THB. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, JAK trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.19 THB, fair value 1.09 THB, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JAK?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.19 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.09 THB). For Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited the two are 0.1000 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited at about 381M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.19 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 1.09 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JAK?
Our models span a range for Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.6144 THB, base 1.09 THB, optimistic 1.34 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.19 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JAK?
Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.09 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.0%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JAK from its 52-week high?
Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited trades at 1.19 THB, about 11% below its 52-week high of 1.34 THB and 93% above the low of 0.6152 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.09 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.19 THB, calculated fair value 1.09 THB (−8%), Quality Score 70/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JAK calculated?
We run Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.09 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1.19 THB. Our model-based fair value is 1.09 THB, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (0.6144 THB to 1.34 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
The market capitalisation of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 381M THB (≈ $11.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 0.58 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
Earnings per share at Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited are 0.1800 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
The dividend yield of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 4.6% (payout 30.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
The net margin of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 8.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
The operating margin of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 21.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
Revenue at Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is growing +63.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +74.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK)?
Earnings per share at Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited are growing +670% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited (JAK) carry?
The net debt of Jakpaisan Estate Public Company Limited is 124M THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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