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Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹87.7B

JN Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited JAYNECOIND · NSE
Price₹88.93
Fair Value₹81.08
Upside-8.8%
Quality72/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: High Range ₹60.81 – ₹101.35 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −3.0% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ₹60.81 (bear) to ₹101.35 (bull), base ₹81.08. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹115.24 ₹14.30 Fair Value ₹81.08 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹14.30 – ₹115.24 · fair‑value band ₹60.81 – ₹101.35 · the ₹88.93 price screens above the ₹81.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) currently trades at ₹88.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹81.08, implying the stock looks roughly 8.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited generated revenue of ₹71.3B at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.8%. Net debt stands at ₹19.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹60.81 (bear case) to ₹101.35 (bull case); at ₹88.93, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 155% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -9%, JAYNECOIND screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹90.19 ₹155.38 ₹259.97 80
Residual Income ₹31.83 ₹44.45 ₹179.50 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹71.53 ₹123.52 ₹186.64 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹89.49 ₹156.69 ₹265.23 38
Owner Earnings ₹67.77 ₹120.61 ₹205.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹71.53 ₹123.72 ₹191.55 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹83.47 ₹147.01 ₹223.08 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹58.45 ₹98.19 ₹140.78 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹74.44 ₹124.71 ₹195.32 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹84.65 ₹141.26 ₹220.36 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹68.43 ₹106.57 ₹155.01 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹32.43 ₹122.09 ₹165.18 54
Lynch FV ₹29.51 ₹42.16 ₹54.81 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹29.51 ₹42.16 ₹54.81 46
EPV ₹74.71 ₹89.20 ₹101.88 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.0100 ₹0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.0100 ₹0.0100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹60.81 ₹81.08 ₹101.35 63
P/S Multiple ₹60.81 ₹81.08 ₹101.35 58
P/B Multiple ₹60.81 ₹81.08 ₹101.35 55
EV/EBIT ₹98.80 ₹135.80 ₹172.81 53
EV/EBITDA ₹90.33 ₹124.51 ₹158.69 54
EV/Revenue ₹64.91 ₹97.96 ₹131.01 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹14.63 ₹19.61 ₹29.26 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹90.19 ₹155.38 ₹259.97 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹71.53 ₹123.52 ₹186.64 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹31.83 ₹44.45 ₹179.50 76
ROIC Compounder ₹83.66 ₹112.68 ₹148.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹47.97 ₹68.52 ₹89.08 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹123.72) versus Dividend Discount (₹0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹71.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.8%
Net margin 6.5%
Return on equity 17.8%
Free cash flow ₹8.2B FY2026
P/E ratio 18.6
More key figures
Operating margin 15.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹4.77
EPS growth (YoY) +87.7%
Net debt ₹19.8B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 68
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products and iron and steel castings in India. It operates through Steel, Iron and Steel Castings, and Other segments.

Full company description

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products and iron and steel castings in India. It operates through Steel, Iron and Steel Castings, and Other segments. The company offers steel products, including pellets, sponge and pig iron, billets, alloy steel bars and wire rods, and blooms and slabs used in carbon and alloy steels, springs, cold heading quality steels, leaf springs, connecting rods, shock absorber and crank shafts, gears, ball bearings, and stabilizer bars and coils, as well as supplies steel in cast, rolled, annealed, and bright bar forms. It also provides automotive castings, such as differential and clutch housings, axles, cylinder heads, and gear box housing products used by cars, trucks, ractors,and agricultural equipment manufacturers, as well as hubs, suspension and engineering items, differential case and covers, railway inserts, base plates for metro rail, insulators and electrical prts, and supplies iron castings to the automotive sector; and engineering castings comprising ductile iron castings, carrier housing, and axle end cap and backing rings. Additionally, the company offers centricast products, including sanitary, hub less pipes, ductile and cast iron manhole covers, and frames and gratings and construction castings comprising manhole covers, ingot moulds, stool plates, and slag pots under NECO brand. Further, it produces various grades of iron ores and limestones to feed the integrated iron and steel plants and engages n PVC pipes trading. The company serves its products in automotive, defense, infrastructure, oil and gas, power, railways, engineering, generator sets, petrochemicals and refineries, agricultural machinery, steel, service lines, irrigation, sugar crushers, crane and material handling equipment manufacturers, bearings, structural and fasteners, and other industries. Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited was formerly known as Jayaswals Neco Ltd. and changed its name to Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited in November 2007. The company was inc

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹71.3B in FY2026 versus ₹59.6B in FY2022, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹4.6B in FY2026, compounding −32.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹71.3B
Latest YoY
+18.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Revenue +4.6%/yr
FY22 ₹59.6B
FY23 ₹63.4B
FY24 ₹59.3B
FY25 ₹60.0B
FY26 ₹71.3B
Net income −32.6%/yr
FY22 ₹22.5B
FY23 ₹2.3B
FY24 ₹2.1B
FY25 ₹1.1B
FY26 ₹4.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JAYNECOIND

Peer Group

Steel · 380 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.46× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.23× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 16
FUTURE 89 · sector 4
PAST 71 · sector 16
HEALTH 77 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,269 ₹1,140 -10%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 37.25 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,838 ARS +16%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,112 ₹516.27 -54%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,894 ₹771.10 -59%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹85.00 ₹112.98 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹81.08 versus a price of ₹88.93, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of JAYNECOIND?
Our model-based fair value for Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited is ₹81.08 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹88.93.
What is the quality score of JAYNECOIND?
Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND)?
Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹71.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JAYNECOIND?
The net profit margin of Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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