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Jubilee Metals Group (JBL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of Jubilee Metals Group ZAR 0.65, price ZAR 0.50, upside +30.0%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · ZA · Home United Kingdom · ISIN GB0031852162

JM Jubilee Metals Group logo Thin data Oct 16, 2026

Jubilee Metals Group

JBL · JSE

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

The stock costs 23% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value R0.6500 · Undervalued (+30.0%)
Low debt
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Insider activity 40/100
Quality 30/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −21.6 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -199.8% net margin (FY2025)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 0/100
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R3.84 R0.4300 Fair Value R0.6500 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R0.4300 – R3.84 · fair‑value band R0.4900 – R0.9700 · the R0.5000 price screens below the R0.6500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 16, 2026.

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Company profile

Jubilee Metals Group PLC operates as a diversified metals processing and recovery company. It operates through Copper and Cobalt, PGM and Chrome, and Other segments.

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The company explores for platinum group metals, such as platinum, palladium, rhodium, iridium, osmium, and gold; and chrome, lead, zinc, vanadium, copper, nickel, and cobalt deposits.

It holds interests in the Sable refinery, Roan concentrator, Kitwe, and Munkoyo properties located in Zambia; and the Inyoni, Thutse, and Windsor projects located in South Africa. The company also holds interests in the LG material and other tailings resource areas.

It has operations in South Africa, Australia, Mauritius, Zambia, and the United Kingdom. Jubilee Metals Group PLC was formerly known as Jubilee Platinum Plc and changed its name to Jubilee Metals Group PLC in December 2017.

Jubilee Metals Group PLC was founded in 2001 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.

Stock analysis

Jubilee Metals Group (JBL) currently trades at R0.5000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R0.6500, implying the stock looks roughly 23.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 93/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: R0.4900 (bear) to R0.9700 (bull), the price of R0.5000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Jubilee Metals Group reported revenue of $16.2M in FY2025 versus $133M in FY2021, a compound −40.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$32.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.5B ZAC · P/S ratio 74.1 · EPS (TTM) R−0.2000 · Net margin −206% · Return on equity −10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7% · Operating margin −29.7% · Revenue (TTM) $21.0M.

What moves the price

The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 30%, JBL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R0.4900 Fair Value R0.6500 Bull R0.9700
Price R0.5000 · Upside +30.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) R0.5900 R0.7900 R1.18 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R0.5900 R0.7900 R1.18 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 72
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 37
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 25
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 12
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 7
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 34
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−93.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−51.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−21.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
29.0% (2020) → −156.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Jubilee Metals Group with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 383 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +16.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −3.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) −29.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 70.5% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.48× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 5.59× · Pricier than median
PEG 88.53× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)59 · sector 64
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)21 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)2 · sector 24

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹256.30 ₹655.92 +156% vs JBL
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥34.08 ¥54.86 +61% vs JBL
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.04 ¥19.15 +12% vs JBL
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 61.30 SAR 67.43 SAR +10% vs JBL
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹546.90 ₹601.59 +10% vs JBL
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥34.74 ¥38.21 +10% vs JBL
Lynas Rare Earths Limited LYC A$12.41 A$11.82 −5% vs JBL
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,009,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −36% vs JBL
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥40.80 ¥23.62 −42% vs JBL
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$11.60 C$4.50 −61% vs JBL

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jubilee Metals Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JBL.JSE

Frequently asked questions

Is Jubilee Metals Group (JBL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R0.6500 versus a price of R0.5000, about +30% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JBL?
Our model-based fair value for Jubilee Metals Group is R0.6500 (as of Oct 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R0.5000.
What is the quality score of JBL?
Jubilee Metals Group has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R0.6500 (as of Oct 16, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario R0.4900, optimistic scenario R0.9700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jubilee Metals Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R0.6500, about +30% upside versus a price of R0.5000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R0.4900, optimistic scenario R0.9700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
Jubilee Metals Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $21.0M (latest available figure, as of Oct 16, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jubilee Metals Group it is R0.6500 per share (as of Oct 16, 2026), against a price of R0.5000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jubilee Metals Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 16, 2026, JBL trades below its calculated fair value: price R0.5000, fair value R0.6500, a gap of about +30% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JBL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R0.5000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R0.6500). For Jubilee Metals Group the two are R0.1500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jubilee Metals Group worth?
The market values Jubilee Metals Group at about 1.5B ZAC (market capitalisation, as of Oct 16, 2026). Per share that is R0.5000; our models calculate a fair value of R0.6500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JBL?
Our models span a range for Jubilee Metals Group: cautious scenario R0.4900, base R0.6500, optimistic R0.9700 per share (as of Oct 16, 2026, price R0.5000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of JBL?
The PEG ratio of Jubilee Metals Group is 88.53 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 16, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jubilee Metals Group (as of Oct 16, 2026): return on equity −10.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JBL from its 52-week high?
Jubilee Metals Group trades at R0.5000, about 55% below its 52-week high of R1.10 and 16% above the low of R0.4300 (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R0.6500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jubilee Metals Group?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Korea Zinc Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jubilee Metals Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 16, 2026: price R0.5000, calculated fair value R0.6500 (+30%), Quality Score 30/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JBL calculated?
We run Jubilee Metals Group through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R0.6500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Jubilee Metals Group currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was R0.5000. Our model-based fair value is R0.6500, about +30% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jubilee Metals Group right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (30/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (R0.4900 to R0.9700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Jubilee Metals Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
The market capitalisation of Jubilee Metals Group is 1.5B ZAC. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jubilee Metals Group is 74.1 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
Earnings per share at Jubilee Metals Group are R−0.2000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
The net margin of Jubilee Metals Group is −206% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jubilee Metals Group is −10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jubilee Metals Group is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
The operating margin of Jubilee Metals Group is −29.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
Revenue at Jubilee Metals Group is growing +70.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −51.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jubilee Metals Group (JBL)?
Earnings per share at Jubilee Metals Group are growing −64.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jubilee Metals Group (JBL) generate?
The free cash flow of Jubilee Metals Group is −$13.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Jubilee Metals Group (JBL) carry?
The net debt of Jubilee Metals Group is $50.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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