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JBTMarel Corp (JBTM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of JBTMarel Corp $44.80, price $113, upside -60.5%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US · ISIN US4778391049

JC JBTMarel Corp logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

JBTMarel Corp

JBTM · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $44.80 · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 29/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·0.35% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 16 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 7 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$170.79 $81.31 Fair Value $44.80 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $81.31 – $170.79 · fair‑value band $21.15 – $68.45 · the $113.28 price screens above the $44.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

JBT Marel Corporation provides technology solutions to food and beverage industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through Protein Solutions and Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions.

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JBT Marel Corporation provides technology solutions to food and beverage industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company operates through Protein Solutions and Prepared Food and Beverage Solutions. It offers value-added processing that includes equipment, solutions, software and services, stunning, slaughtering, scalding/dehairing, chilling, mixing/grinding, separation, injecting, blending, marinating, tumbling, flattening, forming, portioning, coating, cooking, frying, freezing, extracting, pasteurizing, sterilizing, concentrating, high pressure processing, weighing, inspecting, filling, closing, sealing, end of line material handling, labeling, and packaging solutions to the food, beverage, and health market. The company also provides automated guided vehicle systems for material handling requirements in the automotive manufacturing, warehouse, and medical facilities. It serves poultry, beef, pork, seafood, ready-to-eat meals, fruits, vegetables, plant-based meat alternatives, dairy, bakery, pet foods, soups, sauces, juices, and aqua feed industries. The company markets and sells its products and solutions through direct sales force, independent distributors, sales representatives, and technical service teams. The company was formerly known as John Bean Technologies Corporation and changed its name to JBT Marel Corporation in January 2025. JBT Marel Corporation was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

Stock analysis

JBTMarel Corp (JBTM) currently trades at $113.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.80, implying the stock looks roughly 152.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $59.41 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $113.28 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $6.07, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $21.15 (bear) to $68.45 (bull), the price of $113.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

JBTMarel Corp reported revenue of $3.8B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound +28.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$50.5M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $7.2B · P/E ratio 34.7 · P/S ratio 1.86 · EPS (TTM) $3.26 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −1.3% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −60%, JBTM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $21.15 Fair Value $44.80 Bull $68.45
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.09 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $52.24 $107.68 $198.26 76
Growth DCF $51.81 $102.83 $183.43 75
5Y EBITDA Exit $52.94 $110.34 $181.19 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $52.24 $107.68 $198.26 76
Owner Earnings $23.31 $57.88 $114.38 71
5Y Revenue Exit $22.81 $49.32 $83.64 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $52.94 $110.34 $181.19 72
10Y Revenue Exit $31.46 $59.41 $99.11 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $51.91 $102.68 $177.59 66
Earnings-Based
EPV $5.11 $9.81 $13.86 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.53 $7.02 $10.64 67
DDM Multi-Stage $3.53 $6.07 $7.41 67
Multiples
EV/EBIT $21.73 $37.19 $52.65 64
EV/EBITDA $60.66 $89.10 $117.54 66
EV/Revenue $8.45 $22.64 $36.82 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $42.87 $57.44 $85.73 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $51.81 $102.83 $183.43 75
Rev-Margin DCF $22.81 $49.55 $83.60 70
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $5.11 $9.81 $13.86 70

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+121.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.1% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
9.4% (2020) → 5.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.2% a year for the price and +2.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.8%

JBTM screens 153% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −61% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.33× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.62× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.86× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 30.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.22× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)48 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)7 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JBTMarel Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JBTM

Frequently asked questions

Is JBTMarel Corp (JBTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $44.80 versus a price of $113.28, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JBTM?
Our model-based fair value for JBTMarel Corp is $44.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $113.28.
What is the quality score of JBTM?
JBTMarel Corp has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $44.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $21.15, optimistic scenario $68.45. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JBTMarel Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $44.80, about −60% upside versus a price of $113.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $21.15, optimistic scenario $68.45. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
JBTMarel Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does JBTMarel Corp pay a dividend?
JBTMarel Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JBTMarel Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +18.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JBTM use?
Our models discount JBTMarel Corp at 9.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.94, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JBTMarel Corp that is +18.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JBTMarel Corp (JBTM) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JBTMarel Corp grew +17.1 % a year. The price currently implies +18.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JBTMarel Corp (+18.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.02 %: that much free cash flow JBTMarel Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JBTMarel Corp it is $44.80 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $113.28. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JBTMarel Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, JBTM trades above its calculated fair value: price $113.28, fair value $44.80, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JBTM?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($113.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($44.80). For JBTMarel Corp the two are $68.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JBTMarel Corp worth?
The market values JBTMarel Corp at about $7.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $113.28; our models calculate a fair value of $44.80 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JBTM?
Our models span a range for JBTMarel Corp: cautious scenario $21.15, base $44.80, optimistic $68.45 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $113.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JBTM?
JBTMarel Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $44.80 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 1.6, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 13.6.
What is the PEG ratio of JBTM?
The PEG ratio of JBTMarel Corp is 1.22 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
Balance-sheet figures for JBTMarel Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.9%, debt of 0.33 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JBTM from its 52-week high?
JBTMarel Corp trades at $113.28, about 33% below its 52-week high of $168.31 and 3% above the low of $110.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $44.80 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JBTMarel Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JBTMarel Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $113.28, calculated fair value $44.80 (−60%), Quality Score 29/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JBTM calculated?
We run JBTMarel Corp through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $44.80, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. JBTMarel Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $113.28. Our model-based fair value is $44.80, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JBTMarel Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($68.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (29/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($21.15 to $68.45). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Where does the earnings growth of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM) come from?
Earnings per share at JBTMarel Corp grew +23.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.7 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate +3.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +12.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of JBTMarel Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
The market capitalisation of JBTMarel Corp is $7.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JBTMarel Corp is 1.86 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
Earnings per share at JBTMarel Corp are $3.26 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 34.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
The dividend yield of JBTMarel Corp is 0.4% (payout 12.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
The net margin of JBTMarel Corp is −1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JBTMarel Corp is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JBTMarel Corp is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
The operating margin of JBTMarel Corp is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
Revenue at JBTMarel Corp is growing +9.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +33.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JBTMarel Corp (JBTM)?
Earnings per share at JBTMarel Corp are growing +5.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does JBTMarel Corp (JBTM) carry?
The net debt of JBTMarel Corp is $1.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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