JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações BRL 30.14, price BRL 17.90, upside +68.4%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$16.69 – R$33.51 · fair‑value band R$23.40 – R$30.14 · the R$17.90 price screens below the R$30.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações operates as a food products company in Brazil.
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JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações operates as a food products company in Brazil. It offers soy-based powdered food under the Soy+ brand; olive oils under the Nova Oliva brand; rice under the Nikkoh, Beleza, Tio Mingote, No Ponto, Pedrinho, Bataclan, and Impacto brand names; and other products under the Tio João, arroz Tio João, Supra Soy, Meu Biju, and SUPREMO INSUMOS brands. The company exports its products. The company was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Porto Alegre, Brazil. JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is a subsidiary of Peroli S/A Participações.
Stock analysis
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3) currently trades at R$17.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$30.14, implying the stock looks roughly 40.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$122.51 per share, and 20 of the 23 models we run sit above the R$17.90 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at R$6.42, and 3 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: R$23.40 (bear) to R$30.14 (bull), the price of R$17.90 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações reported revenue of R$1.8B in FY2025 versus R$2.0B in FY2021, a compound −2.6%/yr. Reported net income was R$11.9M in FY2025, compounding −21.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap R$189M (≈ $36.8M) · P/E ratio 15.1 · P/S ratio 0.10 · EPS (TTM) R$1.17 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 68%, JOPA3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$23.40Fair Value R$30.14Bull R$30.14
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$0.6225 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in BRL ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−17% vs −8%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 5%
Compare JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Below median
Fair Value upside+68% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−15% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.82× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Is JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$30.14 versus a price of R$17.90, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JOPA3?
Our model-based fair value for JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is R$30.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$17.90.
What is the quality score of JOPA3?
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$30.14 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$23.40, optimistic scenario R$30.14. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$30.14, about +68% upside versus a price of R$17.90 (undervalued). Cautious scenario R$23.40, optimistic scenario R$30.14. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações pay a dividend?
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações it is R$30.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$17.90. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, JOPA3 trades below its calculated fair value: price R$17.90, fair value R$30.14, a gap of about +68% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JOPA3?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$17.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$30.14). For JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações the two are R$12.24 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações worth?
The market values JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações at about R$189M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$17.90; our models calculate a fair value of R$30.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JOPA3?
Our models span a range for JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações: cautious scenario R$23.40, base R$30.14, optimistic R$30.14 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$17.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JOPA3?
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$30.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 10.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
Balance-sheet figures for JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 1.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JOPA3 from its 52-week high?
JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações trades at R$17.90, about 17% below its 52-week high of R$21.60 and 7% above the low of R$16.69 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$30.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$17.90, calculated fair value R$30.14 (+68%), Quality Score 47/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JOPA3 calculated?
We run JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$30.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações currently trades 68 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was R$17.90. Our model-based fair value is R$30.14, about +68% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$23.40). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3) come from?
Earnings per share at JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações grew −4.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.4 %, EBIT margin −2.4 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −9.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações
How large is the market capitalisation of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
The market capitalisation of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is R$189M (≈ $36.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is 0.10 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
Earnings per share at JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações are R$1.17 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
The dividend yield of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is 1.8% (payout 27.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
The net margin of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
The operating margin of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
Revenue at JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is growing −14.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3)?
Earnings per share at JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações are growing +120% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3) generate?
The free cash flow of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is R$94.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações (JOPA3) carry?
The net debt of JOSAPAR Joaquim Oliveira S.A. Participações is R$1.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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