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Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JUVE) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · IT · Market cap €863M

JF Juventus Football Club S.p.A JUVE · MI
Price€2.06
Fair Value€2.53
Upside+23.1%
Quality32/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -16.2% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 6/100
Evidence: Low Range €1.76 – €3.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 23% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (€1.76 to €3.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€6.31 €1.70 Fair Value €2.53 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.70 – €6.31 · fair‑value band €1.76 – €3.30 · the €2.06 price screens below the €2.53 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JUVE) currently trades at €2.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.53, implying the stock looks roughly 23.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Juventus Football Club S.p.A generated revenue of €478M at a net margin of -16.2%. Revenue declined 9.1% year over year. Net debt stands at €231M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.76 (bear case) to €3.30 (bull case); at €2.06, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 23%, JUVE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €0.0300 €0.0500 €0.0700 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0300 €0.0400 €0.0500 61
EV/EBITDA €1.74 €2.51 €3.28 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.0300 €0.0500 €0.0700 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0300 €0.0400 €0.0500 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €1.74 €2.51 €3.28 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.0200 €0.0200 €0.0300 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (€2.51) versus Asset-Based (€0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €478M
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.1%
Net margin -16.2%
Return on equity -115%
Free cash flow −€205M FY2024
Operating margin 3.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.2600
Net debt €231M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Juventus Football Club S.p.A. operates as a professional football club in Italy. The company participates in national and international football competitions, as well as organizes matches.

Full company description

Juventus Football Club S.p.A. operates as a professional football club in Italy. The company participates in national and international football competitions, as well as organizes matches. It is also involved in licensing of audiovisual and media rights related to competitions played; sponsorships, stadium, direct retail, e-commerce, and brand licensing activities for products; marketing of additional services to its fans; and management of multi-year rights to the sporting performances of footballers. The company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Turin, Italy. Juventus Football Club S.p.A. is a subsidiary of EXOR N.V.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Juventus Football Club S.p.A reported revenue of €440M in FY2025 versus €479M in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −€58.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€440M
Latest YoY
+18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.4%
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 €479M
FY22 €436M
FY23 €508M
FY24 €372M
FY25 €440M
Net income
FY21 −€210M
FY22 −€239M
FY23 −€124M
FY24 −€199M
FY25 −€58.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Juventus Football Club S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JUVE

Peer Group

Entertainment · 268 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +23% · Above median
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth -9% · Below median
Debt / equity 20.90× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 2.09× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 64 · sector 6
FUTURE 0 · sector 12
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.08 C$2.66 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.18 $80.62 -22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 -67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $185.33 $59.97 -68%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 59.14 MXN +8%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 370.00 IDR 212.14 IDR -43%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹268.00 ₹63.45 -76%
JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 46,000 KRW 82,382 KRW +79%
SM Entertainment Co 041510 75,500 KRW 208,415 KRW +176%
PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX ₹1,176 ₹467.91 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JUVE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.53 versus a price of €2.06, about +23% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JUVE?
Our model-based fair value for Juventus Football Club S.p.A is €2.53 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.06.
What is the quality score of JUVE?
Juventus Football Club S.p.A has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JUVE)?
Juventus Football Club S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €478M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JUVE?
The net profit margin of Juventus Football Club S.p.A is about -16.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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