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Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Juventus Football Club S.p.A $1.14, price $2.05, upside -44.4%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Communication Services · US · Home Italy

JF Juventus Football Club S.p.A logo Some data Oct 2, 2026

Juventus Football Club S.p.A

JVTSF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.14 · Strongly overvalued (−44.4%)
!Quality 48/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -16.2% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/11)
!Narrow moat 6/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $0.5700 to $1.97

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$19.70 $1.50 Fair Value $1.14 Oct 2018 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.50 – $19.70 · fair‑value band $0.5700 – $1.97 · the $2.05 price screens above the $1.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

Juventus Football Club S.p.A. operates as a professional football club in Italy. The company participates in national and international football competitions, as well as organizes matches.

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Juventus Football Club S.p.A. operates as a professional football club in Italy. The company participates in national and international football competitions, as well as organizes matches. It is also involved in licensing of audiovisual and media rights related to competitions played; sponsorships, stadium, direct retail, e-commerce, and brand licensing activities for products; marketing of additional services to its fans; and management of multi-year rights to the sporting performances of footballers. The company was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Turin, Italy. Juventus Football Club S.p.A. is a subsidiary of EXOR N.V.

Stock analysis

Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF) currently trades at $2.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.14, 44.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.9600 per share, and 3 of the 11 models we run sit above the $2.05 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $0.4100, and 8 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $0.5700 (bear) to $1.97 (bull), the price of $2.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

Juventus Football Club S.p.A reported revenue of €530M in FY2025 versus €471M in FY2021, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was −€58.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.0B · P/S ratio 2.13 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3000 · Net margin −11.0% · Return on equity −115% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.8% · Operating margin 3.7% · Revenue (TTM) €478M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −44%, JVTSF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.5700 Fair Value $1.14 Bull $1.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $0.4700 $0.9600 $1.63 77
Growth DCF $0.4800 $0.9000 $1.43 76
Owner Earnings $1.85 $3.00 $4.57 75
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4700 $0.9600 $1.63 77
Owner Earnings $1.85 $3.00 $4.57 75
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1200 $0.4000 $0.7500 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.25 $2.56 $4.11 73
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2400 $0.5200 $0.8900 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.9200 $1.91 $3.26 66
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $2.05 $2.92 $3.79 67
EV/Revenue n/a $0.1000 $0.2900 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0400 52
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4800 $0.9000 $1.43 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1200 $0.4100 $0.7700 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 99
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 46
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 46
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+34.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.6% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.7% (2020) → −5.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−4.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.3% a year for the price and −6.4% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)−5.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)−5.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)−4.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)−3.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)−2.7%

JVTSF screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 220 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +44.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −16.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9.1% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 18.14× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 2.13× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 55.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 17.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)93 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 28
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 6
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 49

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc NFLX $69.58 $76.54 +10%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $104.90 $101.23 −3%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $30.86 $13.47 −56%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $170.87 $48.93 −71%
TKO Group TKO $182.67 $69.66 −62%
Universal Music Group UMG €14.59 €16.05 +10%
Fox Corporation FOX $56.54 $65.92 +17%
Formula One Group FWONK $94.61 $104.07 +10%
Roku, Inc ROKU $152.67 $42.86 −72%
News Corporation NWS $31.75 $17.05 −46%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Juventus Football Club S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JVTSF

Frequently asked questions

Is Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.14 versus a price of $2.05, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JVTSF?
Our model-based fair value for Juventus Football Club S.p.A is $1.14 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.05.
What is the quality score of JVTSF?
Juventus Football Club S.p.A has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.14 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5700, optimistic scenario $1.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Juventus Football Club S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.14, about −44% upside versus a price of $2.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5700, optimistic scenario $1.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
Juventus Football Club S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €478M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Juventus Football Club S.p.A would have to grow free cash flow by +23.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.6 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JVTSF use?
Our models discount Juventus Football Club S.p.A at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Juventus Football Club S.p.A that is +23.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Juventus Football Club S.p.A grew -1.6 % a year. The price currently implies +23.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Juventus Football Club S.p.A (+23.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.61 %: that much free cash flow Juventus Football Club S.p.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Juventus Football Club S.p.A it is $1.14 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $2.05. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Juventus Football Club S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, JVTSF trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.05, fair value $1.14, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JVTSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.14). For Juventus Football Club S.p.A the two are $0.9100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Juventus Football Club S.p.A worth?
The market values Juventus Football Club S.p.A at about $1.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $2.05; our models calculate a fair value of $1.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JVTSF?
Our models span a range for Juventus Football Club S.p.A: cautious scenario $0.5700, base $1.14, optimistic $1.97 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $2.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Juventus Football Club S.p.A (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −114.8%, debt of 18.14 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JVTSF from its 52-week high?
Juventus Football Club S.p.A trades at $2.05, about 42% below its 52-week high of $3.51 and 2% above the low of $2.00 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Juventus Football Club S.p.A?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Juventus Football Club S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $2.05, calculated fair value $1.14 (−44%), Quality Score 48/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JVTSF calculated?
We run Juventus Football Club S.p.A through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Juventus Football Club S.p.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $2.05. Our model-based fair value is $1.14, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Juventus Football Club S.p.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($0.5700 to $1.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Juventus Football Club S.p.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
The market capitalisation of Juventus Football Club S.p.A is $1.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Juventus Football Club S.p.A is 2.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
Earnings per share at Juventus Football Club S.p.A are $−0.3000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
The net margin of Juventus Football Club S.p.A is −11.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Juventus Football Club S.p.A is −115% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Juventus Football Club S.p.A is −17.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
The operating margin of Juventus Football Club S.p.A is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF)?
Revenue at Juventus Football Club S.p.A is growing −9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Juventus Football Club S.p.A (JVTSF) carry?
The net debt of Juventus Football Club S.p.A is €303M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 16.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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