Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd A$5.54, price A$4.92, upside +12.7%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.6738 – A$7.21 · fair‑value band A$2.96 – A$8.20 · the A$4.92 price screens below the A$5.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Kingsgate Consolidated Limited engages in the exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties. It primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship asset is the Chatree Gold Mine located in central Thailand. Kingsgate Consolidated Limited was incorporated in 1970 and is based in Sydney, Australia.
Stock analysis
Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN) currently trades at A$4.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$5.54, implying the stock looks roughly 11.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$4.77 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the A$4.92 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.8000, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: A$2.96 (bear) to A$8.20 (bull), the price of A$4.92 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd reported revenue of A$337M in FY2025 versus A$12.3M in FY2021, a compound +128.6%/yr. Reported net income was A$29.5M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$1.3B (≈ $922M) · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 0.98 · EPS (TTM) A$0.4400 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin 8.7% · Return on equity 32.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 13%, KCN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$2.96Fair Value A$5.54Bull A$8.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.3400 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.91/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+153.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+93.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+26.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−188% → 14%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.3%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +18.4% a year for the price.
Compare Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 233 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside+12.7% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)32.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets13.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)23.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)33.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth108.2% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
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Is Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$5.54 versus a price of A$4.92, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KCN?
Our model-based fair value for Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is A$5.54 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$4.92.
What is the quality score of KCN?
Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$5.54 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$2.96, optimistic scenario A$8.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$5.54, about +13% upside versus a price of A$4.92 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$2.96, optimistic scenario A$8.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$484M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd pay a dividend?
Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +21.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +93.7 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KCN use?
Our models discount Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.34, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd that is +21.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd grew +93.7 % a year. The price currently implies +21.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (+21.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.66 %: that much free cash flow Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd it is A$5.54 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of A$4.92. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, KCN trades below its calculated fair value: price A$4.92, fair value A$5.54, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KCN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$4.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$5.54). For Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd the two are A$0.6240 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd worth?
The market values Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd at about A$1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is A$4.92; our models calculate a fair value of A$5.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KCN?
Our models span a range for Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd: cautious scenario A$2.96, base A$5.54, optimistic A$8.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price A$4.92). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KCN?
Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$5.54 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.0, P/B 2.9, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 5.3.
What is the PEG ratio of KCN?
The PEG ratio of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is 0.04 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 32.0%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KCN from its 52-week high?
Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd trades at A$4.92, about 32% below its 52-week high of A$7.21 and 47% above the low of A$3.34 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$5.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price A$4.92, calculated fair value A$5.54 (+13%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KCN calculated?
We run Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$5.54, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was A$4.92. Our model-based fair value is A$5.54, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd right now?
The model range is unusually wide (A$2.96 to A$8.20). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
The market capitalisation of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is A$1.3B (≈ $922M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is 0.98 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
Earnings per share at Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd are A$0.4400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
The dividend yield of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is 2.0% (payout 22.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
The net margin of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is 8.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is 32.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is −6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
The operating margin of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is 33.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
Revenue at Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is growing +108% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN)?
Earnings per share at Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd are growing +34.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN) carry?
The net debt of Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd is A$93.1M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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