Kepler Weber S.A (KEPL3) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · BR · Market cap R$1.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from R$14.03 to R$14.04 (+0.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 130% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (R$8.21). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (R$8.21 to R$19.17) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$3.50 – R$10.45 · fair‑value band R$8.21 – R$19.17 · the R$6.11 price screens below the R$14.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Kepler Weber S.A (KEPL3) currently trades at R$6.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$14.04, implying the stock looks roughly 129.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Kepler Weber S.A generated revenue of R$1.5B at a net margin of 10.2%. Revenue declined 11.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.6%. Net debt stands at R$30.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$8.21 (bear case) to R$19.17 (bull case); at R$6.11, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 130%, KEPL3 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (R$15.79) versus Asset-Based (R$2.99). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kepler Weber S.A. provides grain storage equipment and post-harvest grain solutions in Brazil, the Americas, Africa, Europe, and Asia. It operates through five segments: Farms, Agroindustry, Ports and Terminals, Replacement and Services, and International Business.
Full company description
Kepler Weber S.A. provides grain storage equipment and post-harvest grain solutions in Brazil, the Americas, Africa, Europe, and Asia. It operates through five segments: Farms, Agroindustry, Ports and Terminals, Replacement and Services, and International Business. The company offers grain storage and preservation systems, such as silos, dryers and conveyors, and cleaning machines. It also provides equipment for agricultural commodities, such as corn ethanol, soybean oil, animal feed, wheat mills, rice industries, cooperative complexes, cereal producers, and seedbeds; industrial equipment; and port terminals. In addition, the company offers spare parts and technical assistance services; technical engineering and data processing services; engineering risk insurance services; and grain temperature and moisture monitoring services in the processing and storage process. Additionally, it imports and exports raw materials and finished and semifinished goods. The company was founded in 1925 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kepler Weber S.A reported revenue of R$1.5B in FY2025 versus R$1.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was R$156M in FY2025, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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