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Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Kingfisher Mining Ltd A$0.05, price A$0.08, upside -30.3%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU0000118473

KM Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Kingfisher Mining Ltd

KFM · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.0544 · Overvalued (−30%)
!Quality 32/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +2376.0 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$0.6600 A$0.0340 Fair Value A$0.0544 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0340 – A$0.6600 · fair‑value band A$0.0345 – A$0.0942 · the A$0.0780 price screens above the A$0.0544 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Kingfisher Mining Limited engages in the exploration and development of natural resources in Australia. It primarily explores for copper, gold, and lithium deposits, as well as base metals and rare earth elements. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Belmont, Australia.

Stock analysis

Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM) currently trades at A$0.0780, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0544, implying the stock looks roughly 43.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of A$0.1600 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$0.0780 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0300, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: A$0.0345 (bear) to A$0.0942 (bull), the price of A$0.0780 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Kingfisher Mining Ltd reported revenue of A$0 in FY2024 versus A$319 in FY2020. Reported net income was −A$2.0M in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap A$8.1M (≈ $5.7M) · P/S ratio 24.5 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.2% · Revenue (TTM) A$348K · Revenue growth (YoY) +608% · Free cash flow −A$1.4K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −30%, KFM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0345 Fair Value A$0.0544 Bull A$0.0942
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.1000 67
EV/EBITDA A$0.1200 A$0.1600 A$0.1900 64
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings A$0.0300 A$0.0500 A$0.1000 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA A$0.1200 A$0.1600 A$0.1900 64
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0400 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 33/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,684,500.0% (2018) → −2,996.1% (2022)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

KFM screens 43% overvalued. Compare with PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Precious Metals & Mining · 102 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 32 · Below median
Fair Value upside −30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −10% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 608% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Precious Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.45× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 16.44× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 94
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk AMMN 4,870 IDR 871.64 IDR −82%
Hecla Mining Company HL $19.03 $16.28 −14%
Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A. BVN $34.70 $28.79 −17%
Sibanye Stillwater Limited SBSW $11.41 $15.10 +32%
China Gold International Resources Corp CGG C$43.13 C$47.44 +10%
Artemis Gold Inc ARTG C$41.59 C$15.84 −62%
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp TFPM $33.73 $32.40 −4%
Perpetua Resources Corp PPTA $24.76 $6.07 −75%
PT Merdeka Battery Materials Tbk. MBMA 525.00 IDR 73.59 IDR −86%
Zhaojin International Gold Co 000506 ¥18.58 ¥2.01 −89%

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Kingfisher Mining Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0544 −43%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingfisher Mining Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KFM

Frequently asked questions

Is Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0544 versus a price of A$0.0780, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KFM?
Our model-based fair value for Kingfisher Mining Ltd is A$0.0544 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0780.
What is the quality score of KFM?
Kingfisher Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0544 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0345, optimistic scenario A$0.0942. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kingfisher Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0544, about −30% upside versus a price of A$0.0780 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0345, optimistic scenario A$0.0942. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
Kingfisher Mining Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$348K (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingfisher Mining Ltd it is A$0.0544 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0780. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kingfisher Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, KFM trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0780, fair value A$0.0544, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KFM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0780); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0544). For Kingfisher Mining Ltd the two are A$0.0236 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kingfisher Mining Ltd worth?
The market values Kingfisher Mining Ltd at about A$8.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0780; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0544 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KFM?
Our models span a range for Kingfisher Mining Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0345, base A$0.0544, optimistic A$0.0942 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0780). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kingfisher Mining Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −11.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KFM from its 52-week high?
Kingfisher Mining Ltd trades at A$0.0780, about 32% below its 52-week high of A$0.1150 and 28% above the low of A$0.0610 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0544 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kingfisher Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value PT Amman Mineral Internasional Tbk, Hecla Mining Company, Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A., Sibanye Stillwater Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kingfisher Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0780, calculated fair value A$0.0544 (−30%), Quality Score 32/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KFM calculated?
We run Kingfisher Mining Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0544, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingfisher Mining Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0780. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0544, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kingfisher Mining Ltd right now?
Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (A$0.0345 to A$0.0942). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Kingfisher Mining Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
The market capitalisation of Kingfisher Mining Ltd is A$8.1M (≈ $5.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kingfisher Mining Ltd is 24.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
Earnings per share at Kingfisher Mining Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kingfisher Mining Ltd is −11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingfisher Mining Ltd is −19.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM)?
Revenue at Kingfisher Mining Ltd is growing +608% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM) generate?
The free cash flow of Kingfisher Mining Ltd is −A$1.4K (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kingfisher Mining Ltd (KFM) hold?
Kingfisher Mining Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.4M net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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