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Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 30, 2026: fair value of Kongsberg Automotive ASA $0.17, price $0.21, upside -19.1%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Kongsberg Automotive ASA
KGAUF · USOvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value $0.1700 · Overvalued (−19.1%)
!Quality 55/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.5 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 24/100
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1134 – $14.44 · fair‑value band $0.0900 – $0.1700 · the $0.2100 price screens above the $0.1700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Kongsberg Automotive ASA develops, manufactures, and sells products to the automotive industry worldwide. The company operates through Drive Control Systems (DCS) and Flow Control Systems (FCS) segments.
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Kongsberg Automotive ASA develops, manufactures, and sells products to the automotive industry worldwide. The company operates through Drive Control Systems (DCS) and Flow Control Systems (FCS) segments. The Drive Control Systems (DCS) segment engages in the designing and manufacturing of products for the automotive and the off-highway industry, including pneumatic and electric actuation systems for gear control and clutch actuation; steering column modules; and pedals and throttles for off-highway applications. The Flow Control Systems (FCS) segment designs and manufactures products for both the automotive and commercial vehicle markets, as well as industrial applications. This segment's portfolio includes couplings for air brake and air suspension systems; and clean powertrain fluid assemblies, as well as chassis and battery coolant solutions. It serves original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and Tier 1 suppliers in commercial vehicle, off-highway, and passenger car markets. The company was formerly known as Kongsberg Automotive Holding ASA and changed its name to Kongsberg Automotive ASA in August 2014. Kongsberg Automotive ASA was founded in 1957 and is based in Kongsberg, Norway.
Stock analysis
Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF) currently trades at $0.2100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1700, 19.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $0.2700 per share, and 11 of the 18 models we run sit above the $0.2100 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0700, and 7 of the 18 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $0.0900 (bear) to $0.1700 (bull), the price of $0.2100 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Kongsberg Automotive ASA reported revenue of €705M in FY2025 versus €831M in FY2021, a compound −4.0%/yr. Reported net income was €198K in FY2025, compounding −55.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $195M · P/S ratio 0.19 · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 3.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1% · Operating margin 3.7% · Revenue (TTM) €702M · Revenue growth (YoY) −5.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −19%, KGAUF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0900
Fair Value $0.1700
Bull $0.1700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.3200
$0.4000
$0.5500
82
Growth DCF
$0.3300
$0.4100
$0.5400
80
Owner Earnings
$0.2000
$0.2500
$0.3500
77
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.3200
$0.4000
$0.5500
82
Owner Earnings
$0.2000
$0.2500
$0.3500
77
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.2000
$0.2600
$0.3500
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.3400
$0.5000
$0.7200
75
5Y P/E Exit
$0.1200
$0.1300
$0.1500
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.2500
$0.3000
$0.3600
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.3300
$0.4400
$0.5600
70
10Y P/E Exit
$0.2100
$0.2300
$0.2500
65
Earnings-Based
EPV
$0.0500
$0.0700
$0.0800
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
n/a
$0.0100
$0.0100
60
P/S Multiple
n/a
n/a
$0.0100
53
P/B Multiple
n/a
n/a
$0.0100
51
EV/EBIT
$0.1700
$0.2500
$0.3200
65
EV/EBITDA
$0.4200
$0.5800
$0.7300
67
EV/Revenue
$0.1000
$0.1600
$0.2300
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1100
$0.1500
$0.2200
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.3300
$0.4100
$0.5400
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.2000
$0.2700
$0.3600
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.1300
$0.1200
$0.1100
71
ROIC Compounder
$0.0500
$0.0700
$0.0800
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
n/a
n/a
$0.0100
64
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
55/100
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Profitability
30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−67.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−67.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−67.6% vs −34.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.5% a year for the price.
KGAUF screens overvalued: fair value 19% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
Compare Kongsberg Automotive ASA with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Frequently asked questions
Is Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1700 versus the last price from Jul 30, 2026 of $0.2100, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KGAUF?
Our model-based fair value for Kongsberg Automotive ASA is $0.1700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 30, 2026): $0.2100.
What is the quality score of KGAUF?
Kongsberg Automotive ASA has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0900, optimistic scenario $0.1700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kongsberg Automotive ASA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1700, about −19% upside versus the last price from Jul 30, 2026 of $0.2100 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0900, optimistic scenario $0.1700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
Kongsberg Automotive ASA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €702M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kongsberg Automotive ASA would have to grow free cash flow by -3.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KGAUF use?
Our models discount Kongsberg Automotive ASA at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.70, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kongsberg Automotive ASA that is -3.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kongsberg Automotive ASA grew +0.5 % a year. The price currently implies -3.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kongsberg Automotive ASA (-3.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.85 %: that much free cash flow Kongsberg Automotive ASA produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kongsberg Automotive ASA it is $0.1700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2100. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kongsberg Automotive ASA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, KGAUF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.2100, fair value $0.1700, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KGAUF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2100); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1700). For Kongsberg Automotive ASA the two are $0.0400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kongsberg Automotive ASA worth?
The market values Kongsberg Automotive ASA at about $195M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2100; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KGAUF?
Our models span a range for Kongsberg Automotive ASA: cautious scenario $0.0900, base $0.1700, optimistic $0.1700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2100). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Which stocks are comparable to Kongsberg Automotive ASA?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kongsberg Automotive ASA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2100, calculated fair value $0.1700 (−19%), Quality Score 55/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KGAUF calculated?
We run Kongsberg Automotive ASA through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kongsberg Automotive ASA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 30, 2026 and stands at $0.2100. Our model-based fair value is $0.1700, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kongsberg Automotive ASA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($0.0900 to $0.1700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kongsberg Automotive ASA
How large is the market capitalisation of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
The market capitalisation of Kongsberg Automotive ASA is $195M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kongsberg Automotive ASA is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
The net margin of Kongsberg Automotive ASA is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kongsberg Automotive ASA is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kongsberg Automotive ASA is 3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
The operating margin of Kongsberg Automotive ASA is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
Revenue at Kongsberg Automotive ASA is growing −5.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF)?
Earnings per share at Kongsberg Automotive ASA are growing −6.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kongsberg Automotive ASA (KGAUF) carry?
The net debt of Kongsberg Automotive ASA is €108M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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