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KGL Resources Ltd (KGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of KGL Resources Ltd stock A$0.08, price A$0.15, that is 48.7% below the price, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · ISIN AU000000KGL6

KR KGL Resources Ltd logo Thin data Nov 13, 2026

KGL Resources Ltd

KGL · AU

Far too expensive (fair value 49% below the price), weak company and price moving sideways: meets none of the 3 rules.

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Revenue last quarter +22% vs. a year ago. 
Price moving sideways (no uptrend) 
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.8 %/yr in AUD) 
Mixed vs. peers (3/6) 
Fair value A$0.0769 · Strongly overvalued 
Quality 34/100 
Negative free cash flow 
Narrow moat 15/100 · thin data
Thin data 
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.6973 A$0.0830 Fair Value A$0.0769 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0830 – A$0.6973 · fair‑value band A$0.0576 – A$0.0961 · the A$0.1500 price screens above the A$0.0769 fair value. As of Nov 13, 2026.

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Company profile

KGL Resources Limited develops, explores, and evaluates mineral properties in Australia. The company explores for copper, silver, gold, lead, and zinc deposits.

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It's flagship project owned 100% interests in the Jervois project covering an area of approximately 252 square kilometers for exploration leases and 37.9 square kilometers for exploration licenses located in the Northern Territory, Australia.

The company was formerly known as Kentor Gold Limited and changed its name to KGL Resources Limited in August 2013. KGL Resources Limited was incorporated in 1998 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.

Stock analysis

KGL Resources Ltd (KGL) currently trades at A$0.1500, while our estimate is A$0.0769, 49% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.0576 (bear) to A$0.0961 (bull), the price of A$0.1500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

KGL Resources Ltd reported revenue of A$253K in FY2024 versus A$42.9K in FY2020, a compound +55.8%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$341M (≈ $232M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0100 · Return on equity −2.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin −5,493% · Revenue (TTM) A$309K · Revenue growth (YoY) +22.2% · Free cash flow −A$5.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −49%, KGL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.0576 Fair Value A$0.0769 Bull A$0.0961
Price A$0.1500 · Downside -48.7%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 4
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 21
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 88
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 71
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 14
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 23
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 22
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 18/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−59.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+121.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1,440.6% (2019) → −1,143.6% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

KGL screens overvalued: fair value 49% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/5 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Below median
Fair Value upside −48.7% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 22.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.48× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹260.40 ₹334.17 +28% vs KGL
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥27.63 ¥31.35 +13% vs KGL
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.55 SAR 64.57 SAR +10% vs KGL
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹567.35 ₹624.91 +10% vs KGL
Boliden AB BOL kr 509.40 kr 464.45 −9% vs KGL
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥31.17 ¥25.57 −18% vs KGL
BHP Group BHP A$58.86 A$48.03 −18% vs KGL
Korea Zinc Company 010130 902,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −28% vs KGL
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.34 ¥6.82 −49% vs KGL
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.82 ¥4.44 −89% vs KGL

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KGL Resources Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KGL Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KGL

Frequently asked questions

Is KGL Resources Ltd (KGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.0769 versus a price of A$0.1500, about 49% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KGL?
Our estimate for KGL Resources Ltd is A$0.0769 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1500.
What is the quality score of KGL?
KGL Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.0769 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.0576, optimistic scenario A$0.0961. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the KGL Resources Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.0769, about 49% lower versus a price of A$0.1500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0576, optimistic scenario A$0.0961. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
KGL Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$309K (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For KGL Resources Ltd it is A$0.0769 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.1500.
Is KGL Resources Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, KGL trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1500, fair value A$0.0769, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0769). For KGL Resources Ltd the two are A$0.0731 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is KGL Resources Ltd worth?
The market values KGL Resources Ltd at about A$341M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1500; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0769 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KGL?
Our models span a range for KGL Resources Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0576, base A$0.0769, optimistic A$0.0961 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price A$0.1500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
Balance-sheet figures for KGL Resources Ltd (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity −2.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KGL from its 52-week high?
KGL Resources Ltd trades at A$0.1500, about 58% below its 52-week high of A$0.3550 and 11% above the low of A$0.1350 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0769 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to KGL Resources Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is KGL Resources Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price A$0.1500, calculated fair value A$0.0769 (−49%), Quality Score 34/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. KGL Resources Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was A$0.1500. Our estimate is A$0.0769, about 49% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with KGL Resources Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0961). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of KGL Resources Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
The market capitalisation of KGL Resources Ltd is A$341M (≈ $232M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
Earnings per share at KGL Resources Ltd are A$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of KGL Resources Ltd is −2.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of KGL Resources Ltd is −4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
The operating margin of KGL Resources Ltd is −5,493% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at KGL Resources Ltd (KGL)?
Revenue at KGL Resources Ltd is growing +22.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +121%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does KGL Resources Ltd (KGL) generate?
The free cash flow of KGL Resources Ltd is −A$5.6M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does KGL Resources Ltd (KGL) hold?
KGL Resources Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$25.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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