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Data-driven stock valuation

Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited stock ₹502, price ₹450, upside +11.5%, quality 57 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · IN · ISIN INE884B01025

KF Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited logo Broad data Oct 25, 2026

Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited

KIRLFER · BSE

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

The stock costs 10% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value ₹502.19 · Undervalued (+11.5%)
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +28.3 %/yr in INR)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Broad data
Quality 57/100
Thin margins · 5.1% net margin (TTM)
Moderate moat 46/100 · thin data
⟳ Cyclical

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹796.68 ₹175.86 Fair Value ₹502.19 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹175.86 – ₹796.68 · fair‑value band ₹330.83 – ₹652.85 · the ₹450.40 price screens below the ₹502.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.

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Company profile

Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited manufactures and sells iron castings in India and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Casting, Tube, and Steel.

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It offers pig iron products, including foundry, spherodized graphite, and basic/steel grade; and grey iron castings used to manufacture SUVs, tractors, construction equipment, and industrial engines, as well as heavy, medium, and light commercial vehicles.

The company also provides cylinder blocks and heads, housings, hot-finished and cold-finished seamless tubes, and steel products. It serves automotive engineering, infrastructure and construction, agriculture, manufacturing, textile mills, and steel industries.

The company was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Pune, India.

Stock analysis

Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER) currently trades at ₹450.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹502.19, implying the stock looks roughly 10.3% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹572.21 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹450.40 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹61.56, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ₹330.83 (bear) to ₹652.85 (bull), the price of ₹450.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹68.9B in FY2026 versus ₹36.9B in FY2022, a compound +16.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.6B in FY2026, compounding +0.8%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹74.3B (≈ $782M) Small · P/E ratio 21.2 · P/S ratio 1.12 · EPS (TTM) ₹21.29 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at 11%, KIRLFER screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹330.83 Fair Value ₹502.19 Bull ₹652.85
Price ₹450.40 · Upside +11.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹12.13 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF ₹342.62 ₹572.21 ₹1,033 77
Growth DCF ₹330.83 ₹565.26 ₹870.87 77
Residual Income ₹176.28 ₹186.87 ₹210.14 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹342.62 ₹572.21 ₹1,033 77
Owner Earnings ₹193.02 ₹346.53 ₹589.49 74
5Y Revenue Exit ₹318.81 ₹580.72 ₹947.22 70
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹408.54 ₹777.72 ₹1,262 73
5Y P/E Exit ₹319.88 ₹583.07 ₹896.61 69
10Y Revenue Exit ₹313.28 ₹549.32 ₹933.04 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹374.66 ₹678.19 ₹1,174 66
10Y P/E Exit ₹322.63 ₹550.87 ₹894.27 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹147.33 ₹840.59 ₹1,169 63
Lynch FV ₹236.44 ₹337.77 ₹439.10 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹236.44 ₹337.77 ₹439.10 57
EPV ₹140.16 ₹158.29 ₹173.03 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹38.62 ₹65.11 ₹84.92 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹38.62 ₹61.56 ₹70.01 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹341.23 ₹454.98 ₹568.72 63
P/S Multiple ₹276.24 ₹368.32 ₹460.39 58
P/B Multiple ₹749.52 ₹999.36 ₹1,249 55
EV/EBIT ₹386.41 ₹534.33 ₹682.25 66
EV/EBITDA ₹439.56 ₹605.21 ₹770.85 67
EV/Revenue ₹259.37 ₹395.11 ₹530.85 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹111.04 ₹148.79 ₹222.08 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹330.83 ₹565.26 ₹870.87 77
Rev-Margin DCF ₹318.81 ₹572.19 ₹922.30 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹176.28 ₹186.87 ₹210.14 76
ROIC Compounder ₹140.16 ₹158.29 ₹173.03 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹351.54 ₹502.19 ₹652.85 67

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 56
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 56
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 61
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 69
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 79
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 38
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 41
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 50
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +20.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−0.1% vs 12.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 8%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.1% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 247 stocks

Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +7.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 10.0% · Above median
Return on assets 5.6% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 5.2% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 4.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 29.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 21.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.07× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.12× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow 15.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KIRLFER

Frequently asked questions

Is Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹502.19 versus a price of ₹450.40, about +11% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KIRLFER?
Our model-based fair value for Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is ₹502.19 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹450.40.
What is the quality score of KIRLFER?
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹502.19 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹330.83, optimistic scenario ₹652.85. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹502.19, about +11% upside versus a price of ₹450.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹330.83, optimistic scenario ₹652.85. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹69.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
Does Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 1.18% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 25, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +12.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +28.3 % per year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KIRLFER use?
Our models discount Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.45, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited that is +12.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited grew +28.3 % a year. The price currently implies +12.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (+12.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.65 %: that much free cash flow Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited it is ₹502.19 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of ₹450.40. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, KIRLFER trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹450.40, fair value ₹502.19, a gap of about +11% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KIRLFER?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹450.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹502.19). For Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited the two are ₹51.79 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited worth?
The market values Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited at about ₹74.3B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is ₹450.40; our models calculate a fair value of ₹502.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KIRLFER?
Our models span a range for Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹330.83, base ₹502.19, optimistic ₹652.85 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price ₹450.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KIRLFER?
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.2 (as of Oct 25, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹502.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity 10.0%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KIRLFER from its 52-week high?
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited trades at ₹450.40, about 13% below its 52-week high of ₹518.38 and 30% above the low of ₹345.88 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹502.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price ₹450.40, calculated fair value ₹502.19 (+11%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KIRLFER calculated?
We run Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹502.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited currently trades 10 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ₹450.40. Our model-based fair value is ₹502.19, about +11% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited right now?
A fairly wide model range (₹330.83 to ₹652.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
The market capitalisation of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is ₹74.3B (≈ $782M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is 1.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
Earnings per share at Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited are ₹21.29 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
The dividend yield of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is 1.2% (payout 25.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
The net margin of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is 5.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
The operating margin of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
Revenue at Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is growing +4.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER)?
Earnings per share at Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited are growing −13.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited (KIRLFER) carry?
The net debt of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Limited is ₹9.5B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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