Kirin Holdings (KNBWF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $14.8B
Kirin Holdings
KNBWF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($9.47 to $24.69). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.37 – $21.30 · fair‑value band $9.47 – $24.69 · the $18.56 price screens above the $16.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Kirin Holdings (KNBWF) currently trades at $18.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.71, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kirin Holdings generated revenue of $2.5T at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at $799B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.47 (bear case) to $24.69 (bull case); at $18.56, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at -10%, KNBWF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($21.18) versus Asset-Based ($7.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kirin Holdings Company, Limited engages in food and beverages, alcoholic beverages, pharmaceuticals, and health science businesses. The company's products include beer, wine, soft drinks, dairy products, margarine, jams, and honey. It engages in the management and operation of a chain of Kirin City beer pubs.
Full company description
Kirin Holdings Company, Limited engages in food and beverages, alcoholic beverages, pharmaceuticals, and health science businesses. The company's products include beer, wine, soft drinks, dairy products, margarine, jams, and honey. It engages in the management and operation of a chain of Kirin City beer pubs. The company also produces and sells pharmaceutical products. In addition, it manufactures and sells amino acids and nucleic acids for pharmaceutical and industrial use, as well as bulk pharmaceuticals, machines, cosmetics, and health foods. Further, the company provides logistics, accounting, human resources, and real estate services. Additionally, it is involved in the development of internal information systems and the manufacturing and sale of nutritional supplements. The company was formerly known as Kirin Brewery Company, Limited and changed its name to Kirin Holdings Company, Limited in July 2007. Kirin Holdings Company, Limited was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Nakano, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kirin Holdings reported revenue of $2.4T in FY2025 versus $1.8T in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was $148B in FY2025, compounding +25.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kirin and Blackmores Team Up to Release Cognitive Function Support Supplements in Australia and New Zealand Formulated with Kirin Group’s Co
- Assessing Kirin Holdings (TSE:2503) Valuation After Recent Share Price Momentum
- GALLO Completes Acquisition of Four Roses Bourbon From Kirin Holdings
- Is It Time To Reassess Kirin Holdings Company (TSE:2503) After Its Strong 1‑Year Share Price Run?
Peer Group
Beverages - Brewers · 52 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Brewers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Brewers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anheuser-Busch InBev SA 1ABI | €73.62 | €41.60 | -43% |
| Ambev S.A ABEV | 14,120 ARS | 6,060 ARS | -57% |
| Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A. FEMSAUBD | 222.91 MXN | 201.74 MXN | -9% |
| Heineken N.V HEIA | €77.24 | €65.06 | -16% |
| Constellation Brands, Inc STZ | $135.72 | $177.43 | +31% |
| Carlsberg A/S CARLA | kr 1,125 | kr 607.30 | -46% |
| Heineken Holding HEIO | €71.20 | €72.67 | +2% |
| Tsingtao Brewery Company 600600 | ¥53.60 | ¥63.65 | +19% |
| Budweiser Brewing Company 1876 | HK$6.58 | HK$6.05 | -8% |
| Molson Coors Canada Inc TPXA | C$63.10 | C$74.42 | +18% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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