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KNOT Offshore Partners LP, (KNOP) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $355M

KO KNOT Offshore Partners LP, logo KNOT Offshore Partners LP, KNOP · US
Price$10.58
Fair Value$16.93
Upside+60.0%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.95% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range $10.46 – $21.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $11.75 to $16.93 (+44.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.46 to $21.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$16.30 $4.15 Fair Value $16.93 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.15 – $16.30 · fair‑value band $10.46 – $21.15 · the $10.58 price screens below the $16.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

KNOT Offshore Partners LP, (KNOP) currently trades at $10.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.93, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, KNOT Offshore Partners LP, generated revenue of $370M at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.0%. Net debt stands at $867M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.46 (bear case) to $21.15 (bull case); at $10.58, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 60%, KNOP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $32.04 $56.76 $90.96 80
Residual Income $12.87 $12.46 $10.28 76
Rev-Margin DCF $8.88 $17.76 $28.99 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $32.40 $59.70 $99.48 38
Owner Earnings $28.56 $53.61 $90.12 31
5Y Revenue Exit $8.88 $17.10 $26.83 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $20.08 $39.39 $62.32 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.49 $14.34 $21.22 38
10Y Revenue Exit $17.46 $27.54 $40.40 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $24.41 $42.17 $66.62 37
10Y P/E Exit $16.88 $25.73 $36.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.70 $19.22 $26.16 54
Lynch FV $4.82 $6.89 $8.96 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.82 $6.89 $8.96 46
EPV $7.74 $10.77 $13.28 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.40 $4.33 $5.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.40 $3.95 $4.62 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $7.26 $9.67 $12.09 63
P/S Multiple $8.81 $11.75 $14.68 58
P/B Multiple $8.81 $11.75 $14.68 55
EV/EBIT $8.67 $16.36 $24.05 53
EV/EBITDA $15.44 $25.39 $35.34 54
EV/Revenue $2.48 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.22 $12.36 $18.45 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $32.04 $56.76 $90.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.88 $17.76 $28.99 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.87 $12.46 $10.28 76
ROIC Compounder $7.74 $10.77 $13.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.72 $9.60 $12.48 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($27.54) versus Dividend Discount ($3.95). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $370M
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.8%
Net margin 5.0%
Return on equity 3.0%
Free cash flow $155M FY2025
P/E ratio 30.2
More key figures
Operating margin 13.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.3400
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -49.3%
Net debt $867M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 20
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

KNOT Offshore Partners LP, together with its subsidiaries, acquires, owns, and operates shuttle tankers in the United Kingdom and Brazil. The company loads, transports, condensates, and discharges crude oil from offshore oil field installations to onshore terminals and refineries. It serves oil majors and national oil companies.

Full company description

KNOT Offshore Partners LP, together with its subsidiaries, acquires, owns, and operates shuttle tankers in the United Kingdom and Brazil. The company loads, transports, condensates, and discharges crude oil from offshore oil field installations to onshore terminals and refineries. It serves oil majors and national oil companies. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Aberdeen, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

KNOT Offshore Partners LP, reported revenue of $364M in FY2025 versus $281M in FY2021, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $23.3M in FY2025, compounding −18.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$364M
Latest YoY
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.5%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.3%
Revenue +6.7%/yr
FY21 $281M
FY22 $269M
FY23 $291M
FY24 $313M
FY25 $364M
Net income −18.9%/yr
FY21 $53.9M
FY22 $58.7M
FY23 −$34.3M
FY24 $14.1M
FY25 $23.3M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −11.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.2 pp

of which total revenue +9.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.9 pp

EBIT margin −5.7 pp
Tax rate −0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −10.8 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "KNOT Offshore Partners LP, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KNOP

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Midstream · 87 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.92× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Midstream median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.57× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 10.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 34 · sector 41
PAST 12 · sector 41
HEALTH 54 · sector 54
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 99

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Enbridge Inc ENB $56.46 $47.20 -16%
The Williams Companies, Inc WMB $73.38 $12.03 -84%
Enterprise Products Partners L.P. EPD $38.31 $24.74 -35%
TC Energy Corporation TRP C$97.79 C$42.00 -57%
Kinder Morgan, Inc KMI $32.54 $11.12 -66%
Energy Transfer LP, ET $19.91 $17.69 -11%
ONEOK, Inc OKE $93.52 $64.05 -32%
Targa Resources Corp TRGP $273.35 $79.61 -71%
MPLX LP owns and MPLX $57.17 $37.05 -35%
Cheniere Energy, Inc LNG $255.83 $211.18 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is KNOT Offshore Partners LP, (KNOP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.93 versus a price of $10.58, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KNOP?
Our model-based fair value for KNOT Offshore Partners LP, is $16.93 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.58.
What is the quality score of KNOP?
KNOT Offshore Partners LP, has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of KNOT Offshore Partners LP, (KNOP)?
KNOT Offshore Partners LP, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $370M (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KNOP?
The net profit margin of KNOT Offshore Partners LP, is about 5.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does KNOT Offshore Partners LP, pay a dividend?
KNOT Offshore Partners LP, currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.95% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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