Kobe Bussan Co (KOBCY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $5.1B
Kobe Bussan Co
KOBCY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
A solid business, but screening 23% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (16 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
16‑month range $11.50 – $12.45 · fair‑value band $6.68 – $11.14 · the $11.50 price screens above the $8.91 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Kobe Bussan Co (KOBCY) currently trades at $11.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.91, implying the stock looks roughly 22.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Kobe Bussan Co generated revenue of $566B at a net margin of 6.0%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.0. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.68 (bear case) to $11.14 (bull case); at $11.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -31% fair-value upside, at -23%, KOBCY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($10.20) versus Asset-Based ($1.51). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the manufacture, wholesale, and retail food products, and franchise supermarket chain in Japan. The company offers a range of food products through its Gyomu superstores.
Full company description
Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. primarily engages in the manufacture, wholesale, and retail food products, and franchise supermarket chain in Japan. The company offers a range of food products through its Gyomu superstores. It also operates a chain of buffet restaurants under the Kobe Cook World Buffet brand; a chain of served a-la-carte buffet style BBQ restaurants under the Premium Karubi brand; and a chain of delicatessen shops under the concept of offering everyday dining under the CHISOUNA brand. In addition, the company operates and manages renewable energy power plants, including solar and woody biomass power plants. Kobe Bussan Co., Ltd. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Kakogawa, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Kobe Bussan Co reported revenue of $552B in FY2025 versus $407B in FY2022, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was $31.9B in FY2025, compounding +15.2%/yr from FY2022.
KOBCY screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Loblaw Companies Limited →
Peer Group
Grocery Stores · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Grocery Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Grocery Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loblaw Companies Limited L | C$65.49 | C$44.44 | -32% |
| Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V AD | €36.30 | €53.50 | +47% |
| The Kroger Co KR | $58.82 | $28.19 | -52% |
| Woolworths Group WOW | A$39.20 | A$13.40 | -66% |
| George Weston Limited WN | C$100.98 | C$63.61 | -37% |
| Coles Group COL | A$23.56 | A$15.86 | -33% |
| Metro Inc MRU | C$93.64 | C$94.01 | +0% |
| Carrefour SA CA | €16.40 | €11.51 | -30% |
| CP ALL Public Company TCPD | 1.89 SGD | 2.36 SGD | +25% |
| BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S., BIMAS | 385.75 TRY | 267.12 TRY | -31% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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